A lack of reliable estimates of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) aerosols over oceans has severely limited our ability to quantify their effects on cloud properties and extent of cooling by reflecting solar radiation—a key uncertainty in anthropogenic climate forcing. We introduce a methodology for ascribing cloud properties to CCN and isolating the aerosol effects from meteorological effects. Its application showed that for a given meteorology, CCN explains three-fourths of the variability in the radiative cooling effect of clouds, mainly through affecting shallow cloud cover and water path. This reveals a much greater sensitivity of cloud radiative forcing to CCN than previously reported, which means too much cooling if incorporated into present climate models. This suggests the existence of compensating aerosol warming effects yet to be discovered, possibly through deep clouds.
Quantifying the aerosol/cloud-mediated radiative effect at a global scale requires simultaneous satellite retrievals of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations and cloud base updraft velocities (W b ). Hitherto, the inability to do so has been a major cause of high uncertainty regarding anthropogenic aerosol/cloud-mediated radiative forcing. This can be addressed by the emerging capability of estimating CCN and W b of boundary layer convective clouds from an operational polar orbiting weather satellite. Our methodology uses such clouds as an effective analog for CCN chambers. The cloud base supersaturation (S) is determined by W b and the satellite-retrieved cloud base drop concentrations (N db ), which is the same as CCN(S). Validation against ground-based CCN instruments at Oklahoma, at Manaus, and onboard a ship in the northeast Pacific showed a retrieval accuracy of ±25% to ±30% for individual satellite overpasses. The methodology is presently limited to boundary layer not raining convective clouds of at least 1 km depth that are not obscured by upper layer clouds, including semitransparent cirrus. The limitation for small solar backscattering angles of <25°restricts the satellite coverage to ∼25% of the world area in a single day. (1) states that the uncertainty in aerosol/cloud interactions dominates the uncertainty about the degree of influence that human activities have on climate. Because clouds form in ascending air currents, whereas cloud droplets nucleate on aerosols that serve as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), we need accurate measurements of both updrafts and CCN supersaturation (S) spectra before we can disentangle aerosol effects on cloud radiative forcing (CRF) from dynamical effects. Need for Global Measurements of Cloud Base Updrafts and CCN(S)Tackling the global change problems as identified by the IPCC requires that these quantities be measured on a global scale. However, satellites have not been able to measure updraft speed of the air that forms the clouds or the concentrations of aerosols that are capable of forming cloud drops, which are ingested into the clouds as they grow. Lack of such fundamental quantities has greatly hindered our capability of disentangling the effects of meteorology and anthropogenic aerosol emissions on cloud properties (2). This situation is starting to change with our recently developed methodology to retrieve updrafts at cloud base (3, 4) using the Visible/Infrared Imager Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) instrument onboard the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite. This satellite is sun-synchronous, with an overpass time near 13:30 solar time.Missing such fundamental quantities as CCN(S) and cloud base updraft W b has been preventing us from disentangling the effects of aerosols from atmospheric dynamics (i.e., meteorology). Their absence also has limited our ability to validate the hypothesized impacts of added aerosols on a large range of phenomena, including (i) maintaining full cloud cover in marine stratocumulus, thus incurring a str...
[1] Heavy aerosol loads have been observed to suppress warm rain by reducing cloud drop size and slowing drop coalescence. The ice forming nuclei (IFN) activity of the same aerosols glaciate the clouds and create ice precipitation instead of the suppressed warm rain. Satellite observations show that desert dust and heavy air pollution over East Asia have similar ability to glaciate the tops of growing convective clouds at glaciation temperature of Tg < ∼ −20°C, whereas similarly heavy smoke from forest fires in Siberia without dust or industrial pollution glaciated clouds at Tg ≤ −33°C. The observation that both smoke and air pollution have same effect on reducing cloud drop size implies that the difference in Tg is due to the IFN activity. This dependence of Tg on aerosol types appears only for clouds with r e-5 < 12 mm (r e-5 is the cloud drop effective radius at the −5°C isotherm, above which ice rarely forms in cloud tops). For the rest of the clouds the glaciation temperature increases strongly with r e-5 with little relation to the aerosol types, reaching Tg> ∼ −15°C for the largest r e-5 , which are typical to marine clouds in pristine atmosphere. Citation:
Abstract. The relationship between aerosol optical depth (AOD) and PM 2.5 is often investigated in order to obtain surface PM 2.5 from satellite observation of AOD with a broad area coverage. However, various factors could affect the AOD-PM 2.5 regressions. Using both ground and satellite observations in Beijing from 2011 to 2015, this study analyzes the influential factors including the aerosol type, relative humidity (RH), planetary boundary layer height (PBLH), wind speed and direction, and the vertical structure of aerosol distribution. The ratio of PM 2.5 to AOD, which is defined as η, and the square of their correlation coefficient (R 2 ) have been examined. It shows that η varies from 54.32 to 183.14, 87.32 to 104.79, 95.13 to 163.52, and 1.23 to 235.08 µg m −3 with aerosol type in spring, summer, fall, and winter, respectively. η is smaller for scattering-dominant aerosols than for absorbing-dominant aerosols, and smaller for coarse-mode aerosols than for fine-mode aerosols. Both RH and PBLH affect the η value significantly. The higher the RH, the smaller the η, and the higher the PBLH, the smaller the η. For AOD and PM 2.5 data with the correction of RH and PBLH compared to those without, R 2 of monthly averaged PM 2.5 and AOD at 14:00 LT increases from 0.63 to 0.76, and R 2 of multi-year averaged PM 2.5 and AOD by time of day increases from 0.01 to 0.93, 0.24 to 0.84, 0.85 to 0.91, and 0.84 to 0.93 in four seasons respectively. Wind direction is a key factor for the transport and spatial-temporal distribution of aerosols originated from different sources with distinctive physicochemical characteristics. Similar to the variation in AOD and PM 2.5 , η also decreases with the increasing surface wind speed, indicating that the contribution of surface PM 2.5 concentrations to AOD decreases with surface wind speed. The vertical structure of aerosol exhibits a remarkable change with seasons, with most particles concentrated within about 500 m in summer and within 150 m in winter. Compared to the AOD of the whole atmosphere, AOD below 500 m has a better correlation with PM 2.5 , for which R 2 is 0.77. This study suggests that all the above influential factors should be considered when we investigate the AOD-PM 2.5 relationships.
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