Understanding the processes and mechanisms of the spatial spread of epidemics is essential for making reasonable judgments on the development trends of epidemics and for adopting effective containment measures. Using multi-agent technology and big data on population migration, this paper constructed a city-based epidemic and mobility model (CEMM) to stimulate the spatiotemporal of COVID-19. Compared with traditional models, this model is characterized by an urban network perspective and emphasizes the important role of intercity population mobility and high-speed transportation networks. The results show that the model could simulate the inter-city spread of COVID-19 at the early stage in China with high precision. Through scenario simulation, the paper quantitatively evaluated the effect of control measures "city lockdown" and "decreasing population mobility" on containing the spatial spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. According to the simulation, the total number of infectious cases in China would have climbed to 138,824 on February 2020, or 4.46 times the real number, if neither of the measures had been implemented. Overall, the containment effect of the lockdown of cities in Hubei was greater than that of decreasing intercity population mobility, and the effect of city lockdowns was more sensitive to timing relative to decreasing population mobility.
As the largest ethnic group in the world, the Han Chinese population is nonetheless underrepresented in global efforts to catalogue the genomic variability of natural populations. Here, we developed the PGG.Han, a population genome database to serve as the central repository for the genomic data of the Han Chinese Genome Initiative (Phase I). In its current version, the PGG.Han archives whole-genome sequences or high-density genome-wide single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) of 114 783 Han Chinese individuals (a.k.a. the Han100K), representing geographical sub-populations covering 33 of the 34 administrative divisions of China, as well as Singapore. The PGG.Han provides: (i) an interactive interface for visualization of the fine-scale genetic structure of the Han Chinese population; (ii) genome-wide allele frequencies of hierarchical sub-populations; (iii) ancestry inference for individual samples and controlling population stratification based on nested ancestry informative markers (AIMs) panels; (iv) population-structure-aware shared control data for genotype-phenotype association studies (e.g. GWASs) and (v) a Han-Chinese-specific reference panel for genotype imputation. Computational tools are implemented into the PGG.Han, and an online user-friendly interface is provided for data analysis and results visualization. The PGG.Han database is freely accessible via http://www.pgghan.org or https://www.hanchinesegenomes.org.
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