Operational monsoon moisture surveillance and severe weather prediction is essential for timely water resource management and disaster risk reduction. For these purposes, this study suggests a moisture indicator using the COSMIC-2/FORMOSAT-7 radio occultation (RO) observations and evaluates numerical model experiments with RO data assimilation. The RO data quality is validated by a comparison between sampled RO profiles and nearby radiosonde profiles around Taiwan prior to the experiments. The suggested moisture indicator accurately monitors daily moisture variations in the South China Sea and the Bay of Bengal throughout the 2020 monsoon rainy season. For the numerical model experiments, the statistics of 152 moisture and rainfall forecasts for the 2020 Meiyu season in Taiwan show a neutral to slightly positive impact brought by RO data assimilation. A forecast sample with the most significant improvement reveals that both thermodynamic and dynamic fields are appropriately adjusted by model integration posterior to data assimilation. The statistics of 17 track forecasts for typhoon Hagupit (2020) also show the positive effect of RO data assimilation. A forecast sample reveals that the member with RO data assimilation simulates better typhoon structure and intensity than the member without, and the effect can be larger and faster via multi-cycle RO data assimilation.
This study analyzed the temporal/spatial distribution of the high‐temperature extremes (HTEs) in Taiwan. Three major weather types for HTEs were identified: the southerly/southwesterly (S/SW) (47.6%), western North Pacific subtropical high (SH) (35.9%), and tropical cyclone (16.5%). The S/SW type features anomalous warm advection in lower atmosphere and anomalous subsidence in all the altitudes around Taiwan. Different from the S/SW type, the SH type warms the surface primarily with increasing downward shortwave radiation. In June, the S/SW type was the most common. In July, both the S/SW and SH types dominated. In August, the tropical cyclone and SH types were more common. The subseasonal variation of extreme hot days (EHDs) for these three weather types is examined. Taipei and Dawu were two HTE hot spots in Taiwan. EHDs in Taipei occurred mostly in July and August, with the SH being the major type. Most EHDs in Dawu occurred in June, with the S/SW being the predominant type. These differences likely resulted from not only the subseasonal monsoon variation but also geographical differences. The interannual variability of the summer EHDs in Taiwan was found to be related to the phase and intensity of the El Niño‐southern oscillation events. The number of EHDs increased in the El Niño decaying summers and decreased in the La Niña decaying summers. The correlation between the number of summer EHDs and the Niño 3.4 SST anomaly reaches its peak in the previous winter (November/December). The associated mechanisms were discussed in the article.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.