Purpose. Cardiogenic shock (CS) is the leading cause of death in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Our study aimed to evaluate the short-term prognostic value of admission blood urea nitrogen (BUN) in patients with CS complicating AMI. Materials and Methods. 218 consecutive patients with CS after AMI were enrolled. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality. The association of admission BUN and 30-day mortality and major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was investigated by Cox regression. The integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) further examined the predictive value of BUN. Results. During a period of 30-day follow-up, 105 deaths occurred. Compared to survivors, nonsurvivors had significantly higher admission BUN p < 0.001 , creatinine p < 0.001 , BUN/creatinine (p = 0.03), and a lower glomerular filtration rate p < 0.001 . The area under the curve (AUC) of the 4 indices for predicting 30-day mortality was 0.781, 0.734, 0.588, and 0.773, respectively. When compared to traditional markers associated with CS, the AUC for predicting 30-day mortality of BUN, lactate, and left ventricular ejection fraction were 0.781, 0.776, and 0.701, respectively. The optimal cut-off value of BUN for predicting 30-day mortality was 8.95 mmol/L with Youden-Index analysis. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated BUN >8.95 mmol/L was an important independent predictor for 30-day mortality (HR 2.08, 95%CI 1.28–3.36, p = 0.003) and 30-day MACE (HR 1.85, 95%CI 1.29–2.66, p = 0.001). IDI (0.053, p = 0.005) and NRI (0.135, p = 0.010) showed an improvement in the accuracy for mortality prediction of the new model when BUN was included compared with the standard model of predictors in previous scores. Conclusion. An admission BUN >8.95 mmol/L was robustly associated with increased short-term mortality and MACE in patients with CS after AMI. The prognostic value of BUN was superior to other renal markers and comparable to traditional markers. This easily accessible index might be promising for early risk stratification in CS patients following AMI.
Background Numerous studies have revealed the relationship between lipid expression and increased cardiovascular risk in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. Nevertheless, few investigations have focused on the risk stratification of STEMI patients using machine learning algorithms. Methods A total of 1355 STEMI patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention were enrolled in this study during 2015–2018. Unsupervised machine learning (consensus clustering) was applied to the present cohort to classify patients into different lipid expression phenogroups, without the guidance of clinical outcomes. Kaplan-Meier curves were implemented to show prognosis during a 904-day median follow-up (interquartile range: 587–1316). In the adjusted Cox model, the association of cluster membership with all adverse events including all-cause mortality, all-cause rehospitalization, and cardiac rehospitalization was evaluated. Results All patients were classified into three phenogroups, 1, 2, and 3. Patients in phenogroup 1 with the highest Lp(a) and the lowest HDL-C and apoA1 were recognized as the statin-modified cardiovascular risk group. Patients in phenogroup 2 had the highest HDL-C and apoA1 and the lowest TG, TC, LDL-C and apoB. Conversely, patients in phenogroup 3 had the highest TG, TC, LDL-C and apoB and the lowest Lp(a). Additionally, phenogroup 1 had the worst prognosis. Furthermore, a multivariate Cox analysis revealed that patients in phenogroup 1 were at significantly higher risk for all adverse outcomes. Conclusion Machine learning-based cluster analysis indicated that STEMI patients with increased concentrations of Lp(a) and decreased concentrations of HDL-C and apoA1 are likely to have adverse clinical outcomes due to statin-modified cardiovascular risks. Trial registration ChiCTR1900028516 (http://www.chictr.org.cn/index.aspx).
Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a complex clinical syndrome associated with systemic hypoperfusion resulting from cardiovascular diseases.The most common cause of CS is acute myocardial infarction (AMI). 1 Indeed, in the era of urgent revascularisation, AMI mortality rate has decreased significantly; however, when it develops into CS, the mortality rate may rise up to 50%. 1 Although there were some risk tools for risk stratification (IABP-SHOCK II, CardShock, SOFA), 2,3 the sophisticated algorithm of these risk scores limited their bedside use. Moreover, several biomarkers have shown the ability to predict the outcome of CS, such as B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP),
Background: The coronary atherosclerotic burden in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has been identified as the main predictor of prognosis. However, the association of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], a well-established proatherogenic factor, with atherosclerotic burden in patients with STEMI is unclear.Methods: In total, 1,359 patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for STEMI were included in analyses. Three prespecified models with adjustment for demographic parameters and risk factors were evaluated. Generalized additive models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the relationships of Lp(a) with Gensini scores and the no-reflow phenomenon. Kaplan–Meier curves were generated to explore the predictive value of Lp(a) for long-term all-cause mortality. Furthermore, mRNA expression levels of LPA in different groups were compared using the GEO database.Results: Patients in the highest tertile according to Lp(a) levels had an increased incidence of heart failure during hospitalization. Furthermore, patients with high levels of Lp(a) (>19.1 mg/dL) had sharply increased risks for a higher Gensini score (Pfor trend = 0.03) and no-reflow (Pfor trend = 0.002) after adjustment for demographic parameters and risk factors. During a median follow-up of 930 days, 132 deaths (9.95%) were registered. Patients with high levels of Lp(a) (>19.1 mg/dL) had the worst long-term prognosis (Pfor trend < 0.0001). In a subgroup analysis, patients with higher Lp(a) still had the highest all-cause mortality. Additionally, the mRNA expression levels of LPA in patients with STEMI with lower cardiac function were higher than those in other groups (P = 0.003). A higher coronary atherosclerotic burden was correlated with higher LPA expression (P = 0.01).Conclusion: This study provides the first evidence that Lp(a) (at both the protein and mRNA levels) is independently associated with coronary atherosclerotic lesions and prognosis in patients with STEMI treated with PCI.Clinical Trial Registration:http://www.chictr.org.cn/index.aspx, identifier: ChiCTR1900028516.
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