Progressive infarction (PI) is common in small subcortical infarction and may lead to a poor outcome. The purpose of our study is to identify neuroimaging predictors for PI. From April 2017 to December 2020, we enrolled 86 patients with an anterior circulation subcortical infarction within 48 h after onset. Progressive infarction was defined by an increase of ≥ one point in motor power or ≥ two points in the total National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score within 7 days after admission and further confirmed by diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). To identify predictors, demographic characteristics, clinical information, laboratory date, and neuroimaging characteristics were evaluated. The infarct size and infarct slice number were measured by DWI. We found that thirty-one patients (36%) had PI. In a univariate analysis, the patients with PI had higher levels of triglyceride, lower levels of blood urea nitrogen and prothrombin time, and a higher frequency of infarct slice number ≥ three compared to the patients without PI. After logistic regression stepwise adjustment for all considered relevant confounders, infarct slice number ≥ three slices proved to be independently associated with PI (OR = 4.781, 95% CI 1.677–13.627; OR = 4.867, 95% CI 1.6–14.864; OR = 3.584, 95% CI 1.034–12.420). Our study showed that a lesion extending ≥ three slices on DWI is an independent predictor for progressive infarction in patients with anterior circulation small subcortical infarction.

Background and Purpose. Approximately one-third of patients with acute ischemic stroke experience early neurological deterioration (END). Multiple mechanisms lead to END, and progressive infarction (PI) representing extension of the original infarction is the most common type. Lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) has been reported to be associated with stroke, cancer, and cardiovascular disease, but no relationship with PI has been reported. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between LMR and PI. Methods. From April 2017 to December 2020, we retrospectively recruited 477 patients with acute ischemic stroke (within 48 hours after onset). Progressive infarction was defined as an increase of ≥1 point in motor power or ≥2 points on the total National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) within 7 days after admission and extension of the original infarction were further confirmed by diffusion-weighted imaging. Demographic characteristics, clinical information, and neuroimaging characteristics were evaluated after admission. All blood draws and initial imaging were completed within 24 hours of admission. Results. PI occurred in 147 (30.8%) patients. Univariate analysis comparing the two groups revealed that hypertension, initial NIHSS score, discharge NIHSS score, modified Rankin scale score at 90 days, monocyte level, creatinine level, fasting glucose level, LMR, monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio (MHR), and lesion location were significantly different ( P < 0.05 ). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the odds ratio of PI increased as the quartile of LMR increased, with the lowest quartile as the reference value. Subgroup analyses showed that a high LMR was an independent predictor of PI only in large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) patients. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to estimate the predictive value of LMR for PI. For all cases, the area under the curve was 0.583 (95% CI 0.526-0.641), and the best predictive cutoff value was 3.506, with a sensitivity of 53.1% and a specificity of 63.9%. In patients with LAA, the area under the curve was 0.585 (95% CI 0.505-0.665), and the best predictive cutoff value was 3.944, with a sensitivity of 48.7% and a specificity of 72.8%. Conclusions. LMR was an independent predictor for progressive infarction in patients with acute ischemic stroke, especially in LAA cerebral infarction patients.

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