BackgroundEfficacy trials showed that glucagon-like peptide–1 receptor (GLP1R) agonists reduced metabolic risk factors in addition to glucose lowering, but the cardiovascular and microvascular efficacy of this drug class remains to be determined. We aimed to evaluate the overall cardiovascular and microvascular efficacy of GLP1R agonists by performing a meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis.MethodsRandomized controlled, cardiovascular outcomes trials including at least 2000 patient-years’ follow-up and 100 composite cardiovascular events were included. Trial sequential analysis (TSA) was performed and the quality of evidence was graded.ResultsThirty-three thousand four hundred fifty-seven patients and 4105 cardiovascular events from 4 large trials were included. GLP1R agonists were associated with a statistically significant reduction in risks for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.95; number needed to treat [NNT]: 286 person-years), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.79 to 0.96; NNT: 412 person-years), stroke (HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.76 to 0.98; NNT: 209 person-years) and the composite adverse cardiovascular outcome (MACE; HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.85 to 0.96; NNT: 241 person-years). The magnitude of benefit on MACE was attenuated in patients with a history of congestive heart failure (HR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.85 to 1.08 with; HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.77 to 1.00 without). The risks for hospitalization for heart failure and myocardial infarction were not significantly different. The quality of the evidence was deemed as moderate to high based on GRADE approach. TSA provided firm evidence for a 10% reduction in all-cause mortality, a 15% reduction in MACE, and lack of a 15% reduction in hospitalization for heart failure, but evidence remains inconclusive for cardiovascular mortality and myocardial infarction. GLP1R agonists numerically reduced the rates for nephropathy but the risk for retinopathy was similar.ConclusionsMeta-analysis with trial sequential analysis suggested that GLP1R agonists significantly reduced the risk for all-cause mortality and composite cardiovascular outcomes, but the reduction of cardiovascular mortality remains to be confirmed.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1186/s40360-018-0246-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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Liver dysfunction is a common complication of Graves’ disease (GD) that may be caused by excessive thyroid hormone (TH) or anti-thyroid drugs (ATDs). Radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy is one of the first-line treatments for GD, but it is unclear whether it is safe and effective in patients with liver dysfunction. 510 consecutive patients with GD receiving first RAI were enrolled in the study, and followed up at 3-, 6- and 12-month. Liver dysfunction was recorded in 222 (43.5%) patients. GD patients with liver dysfunction had higher serum levels of free triiodothyronine (FT3) (median 27.6 vs. 20.6 pmol/L, p < 0.001) and free thyroxine (FT4) (median 65.4 vs. 53.5 pmol/L, p < 0.001) levels than those with normal liver function. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that duration of disease (OR = 0.951, 95% CI: 0.992–0.980, p = 0.001) and male gender (OR = 1.106, 95% CI: 1.116–2.384; p = 0.011) were significant differential factors for liver dysfunction. Serum TSH levels were higher in patients with liver dysfunction at all 3 follow-up time points (p = 0.014, 0.008, and 0.025 respectively). FT3 level was lower in patients with liver dysfunction at 3-month follow-up (p = 0.047), but the difference disappeared at 6 and 12 months (p = 0.351 and 0.264 respectively). The rate of euthyroidism or hypothyroidism was higher in patients with liver dysfunction than in those with normal liver function at 3 months (74.5% vs 62.5%; p = 0.005) and 6 months (82.1% vs 69.1%; p = 0.002) after RAI treatment, but the difference did not persist at 12-month follow-up (89.6% vs 83.2%, p = 0.081).There were no statistically significant differences in treatment efficacy (94.48% vs 90.31%, p = 0.142), incidence of early-onset hypothyroidism (87.73% vs 83.67%, p = 0.277), and recurrence rate (4.91% vs 7.14%, p = 0.379) between the 2 groups at 12-month follow-up. In conclusion, the efficacy of RAI was comparable in GD patients with liver dysfunction and those with normal liver function.