PurposeWe aimed to establish a prediction model based on preoperative clinicopathologic features and intraoperative frozen section examination for precise prediction of metastatic involvement of lymph nodes posterior to the right recurrent laryngeal nerve (LN-prRLN) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).MethodsClinicopathologic data pertaining to patients with PTC who underwent initial thyroid surgery between July 2015 and December 2017 were collected from electronic medical records. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of LN-prRLN metastasis for incorporation in the nomogram. The performance of the model was assessed using discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical application.ResultsA total of 592 patients were enrolled in this study. The LN-prRLN metastatic positivity was 19% (95% confidence interval [CI], 15.61–21.89%). On multivariate analysis, ultrasonography-reported LN status, extrathyroid extension, Delphian lymph node metastasis, and number of metastatic pretracheal and paratracheal lymph nodes were independent predictors of LN-prRLN metastasis. The nomogram showed good discriminative ability (C-index: 0.87; [95% CI, 0.84–0.91]; bias-corrected C-index: 0.86 [through bootstrapping validation]) and was well calibrated. The decision curve analysis indicated potential clinical usefulness of the nomogram.ConclusionThis study demonstrates that the risk of LN-prRLN metastasis in individual patients can be robustly predicted by a nomogram that integrates readily available preoperative clinicopathologic features and intraoperative frozen section examination. The nomogram may facilitate intraoperative decision-making for patients with PTC.

Background: To investigate the significance of multi-gene assay in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients in clinical practice.Methods: From April to December 2019, medical records of 68 patients with PTC after the initial surgery were retrospectively collected and analyzed in terms of the relations between gene mutations and clinicopathological characteristics.Results: RET/PTC rearrangement was not detected in BRAF V600E mutation patients (P<0.001).Besides, compared with wild-type patients, BRAF V600E mutation was associated with significantly older age (P=0.001) and a higher rate of extrathyroid invasion (P=0.023). Significantly higher BRAF V600E mutation rates were found in clinical lymph node-negative (P=0.041) and non-metastatic lateral lymph nodes (P=0.027) patients as RET/PTC rearrangement was associated with younger age (P=0.001) and the increasing metastatic number of lymph nodes (P=0.020). Compared to other gene mutations, the multivariate analysis showed that larger tumor size [

BackgroundCentral lymph node metastases (CLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are common, but management through prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) remains controversial. In this study, the independent predictors of CLNM in PTMC were retrospectively studied based on ultrasound and pathological data, and we aim to establish the prediction model to predict CLNM in PTMC.MethodsThis study included a total of 1,506 patients who underwent thyroid surgery for PTMC at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from 2015 to 2018. Ultrasound and clinicopathological features were summarized and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors associated with CLNM. The prediction model is established and verified according to the multivariate analysis results. The Kaplan–Meier curve was used to evaluate the effect of CLNM on survival.ResultsThe CLNM rate was 44.5% (670/1,506). Multivariate analysis showed that men, younger age, smaller diameter, ETE, microcalcification, without Hashimoto’s thyroiditis, and multifocal were independent risk predictors of CLNM. Nomogram has a good discriminative ability (C-index: 0.755 in the validation group), and the calibration effect is good. In the DCA curve, the CLNM prediction model performed better net benefit given any high-risk thresholds. The median follow-up time was 30 months (12–59 months), 116 cases were lost, and the follow-up rate was 92.8% (1,506/1,622). Of the 1,506 patients included, 12 (0.8%) experienced recurrence.ConclusionThe likelihood of CLNM can be objectively quantified before surgery by using this reliable and accurate nomogram that combines preoperative ultrasound with clinicopathological features. Clinicians can use this nomogram to assess central lymph node status in patients with PTMC and consider prophylactic CND in patients with high scores.

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BackgroundMost patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) have an excellent prognosis. Although central lymph node invasion is frequent, management via central lymph node dissection (CLND) remains controversial. The present study retrospectively investigated independent predictors of pathologic central lymph node negativity (pCLN-) and established a prediction model for pCLN- in clinical lymph node negativity (cN0) PTC.MethodsA total of 2,687 patients underwent thyroid surgery for cN0 PTC from 2013 to 2018 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, and lobectomy plus ipsilateral CLND was the basic surgical extent. Clinicopathological characteristics were reviewed and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors related to pCLN-. A prediction model was established based on the results of multivariate analyses.ResultsThe pCLN- rate was 51.5% (1,383/2,687). Multivariate analysis revealed that sex, age, thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), size, location, laterality, unifocality and extrathyroidal extension negativity (ETE-) were independent predictors of pCLN-. The nomogram showed good discriminative ability (C-index: 0.784 and 0.787 in derivation and validation groups, respectively) and was well calibrated. We quantified the clinical usefulness of the nomogram by decision curve analysis. The median length of follow-up was 30 (range 12– 83) months, and 190 cases were lost, with a follow-up rate of 92.9% (2,497/2,687). Of the 2,687 patients included, 21 (0.8%) experienced recurrence.ConclusionThis nomogram, which integrates available preoperative clinicopathological features and intraoperative frozen biopsy outcomes, is a reliable tool with high accuracy to predict pCLN- in cN0 PTC.