Importance
Observational studies suggest that diet is linked to cognitive health. However, the duration of follow-up in many studies is not sufficient to take into account the long preclinical phase of dementia and the evidence from intervention studies is not conclusive.
Objectives
To examine whether midlife diet is associated with subsequent risk of dementia.
Design, Setting and Participants
Population-based cohort study established in 1985-1888, with dietary intake assessment in 1991-1993, 1997-1999 and 2002-2004; follow-up for incident dementia until March 2017.
Exposures
Food frequency questionnaire to derive the Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI), an 11-component diet quality score (range=0-110), with higher scores indicating a healthier diet.
Main Outcome and Measures
Incident dementia ascertained through linkage to electronic health records.
Results
Among 8225 (mean age 50.2 (SD, 6.1) years; 5686, 69.1% men) dementia-free participants in 1991-1993 a total of 344 cases of incident dementia were recorded over a median follow-up of 24.8 (IQR, 24.2 to 25.1) years. No significant difference in incidence rate (IR) of dementia was observed in tertiles of AHEI exposure in 1991-1993, 1997-1999 (median follow-up 19.1 years) and 2002-2004 (median follow-up 13.5 years). Compared with IR of dementia of 1.76 (95% CI, 1.47-2.12) per 1000 person-years in the worst tertile of AHEI (lowest tertile of diet quality) in 1991-1993, the absolute rate differences for the intermediate and the best tertiles were, respectively, 0.03 (95 % CI, -0.43 to 0.49) and 0.04 (95% CI, -0.42 to 0.51) per 1000 person-years. In 1997-1999, the absolute rate differences in the intermediate and the best AHEI tertiles compared to the worst tertile (IR=2.06 (95% CI, 1.62-2.61) per 1000 person-years) were respectively 0.14 (95 % CI, -0.58 to 0.86) and 0.14 (95% CI, -0.58 to 0.85) per 1000 person-years. In 2002-2004, these absolute rate differences with the worst AHEI tertile (IR=3.12 (95% CI, 2.49-3.92) per 1000 person-years) were respectively -0.61 (95 % CI, -1.56 to 0.33) and -0.73 (95% CI, -1.67 to 0.22) per 1000 person-years in the intermediate and best AHEI tertiles. In multivariate analysis, HRs of dementia per 10-point AHEI increment were not significant as assessed in 1991-1993 (0.97, 95% CI, 0.87-1.08)), in 1997-1999 (0.97, 95% CI, 0.83-1.12)), or in 2002-2004 (0.87, 95% CI, 0.75-1.00)).
Conclusion
In this long-term prospective cohort study, diet quality assessed in midlife was not significantly associated with subsequent risk of dementia.