Over forty years ago, Daniel Bell made the provocative claim that ideological polarization was diminishing in Western democracies, but new ideologies were emerging and driving politics in developing nations. This article tests the End of Ideology thesis with a new wave of data from the World Values Survey (WVS) that covers over 70 nations representing more than 80 percent of the world's population. We find that polarization along the Left/Right dimension is substantially greater in the less affluent and less democratic societies than in advanced industrial democracies. The correlates of Left/Right orientations also vary systematically across regions. The twin pillars of economic and religious cleavages remain important in European states; cultural values and nationalism provide stronger bases of ideology in Asia and the Middle East. As Bell suggested, social modernization does seem to transform the extent and bases of ideological polarization within contemporary societies.
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Social Modernization and the End of Ideology Debate: Patterns of Ideological PolarizationIn the halcyon days of the early 1960s, Daniel Bell (1960) made a provocative claim about the "End of Ideology. Bell maintained that "In the Western world, therefore, there is a rough consensus among intellectuals on political issues: the acceptance of a WelfareState; the desirability of decentralized power; a system of mixed economy and of political pluralism. In that sense, too, the ideological age has ended" (pg. 373). He also claimed that while ideological debates had been exhausted in the West, new ideologies were emerging and driving politics in Asia and Africa.For more than a generation, the basic premise underlying Bell's claim has been widely debate. The apparent erosion of the class cleavage in Western democracies, and the emergence of a consensus in support of the welfare state were taken as indicators of the erosion of traditional ideological divisions (Kirchheimer 1966;Thomas 1979 Second, we use cross-national aggregate data to test the core hypothesis of whether ideological positions are less polarized in advanced industrial democracies, while continuing to divide the publics in the developing world. Third, we examine the whether the correlates of ideology--and hence the meaning of ideological cleavage--vary systematically across nations. These empirical findings provide the basis for discussing the relationship between social modernization and ideology, and the likely consequences of this relationship for contemporary political systems.
The End of Ideology ThesisDaniel Bell premised the End of Ideology Hypothesis on a set of social changes that were transforming Western democracies. One factor was the tremendous economic progress of the mid-20 th century, and the concomitant transformation of the employment patterns and living conditions. In a later work, Bell (1973) stressed the role of ethnicity and nationalism as source of division in developing nations.At the same time, one might add that the struggles over economic well-being...