A practitioner's view of the future of organization design: Future trends and implications for Royal Dutch Shell

Steinmetz, Jan; Bennett, Chuck; Håkonsson, Dorthe Døjbak

doi:10.7146/jod.2012.1.3

Cited by 2 publications

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“…The Royal Dutch Shell group uses qualitative scenarios to explore the robustness of long-term business strategies across a range of plausible future business environments [27]. By providing structure to an uncertain decision making context, qualitative scenarios do not only provide decision support for businesses but have also proven to be relevant to analyse new emerging policy fields as described e.g., by Purkus and Barth [28] for the case of geothermal energy.…”

Section: Introduction: the Wood-based Bioeconomy-aims Perspectives Amentioning

confidence: 99%

Possible Futures towards a Wood-Based Bioeconomy: A Scenario Analysis for Germany

et al. 2016

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Driven by the growing awareness of the finite nature of fossil raw materials and the need for sustainable pathways of industrial production, the bio-based economy is expected to expand worldwide. Policy strategies such as the European Union Bioeconomy Strategy and national bioeconomy strategies foster this process. Besides the advantages promised by a transition towards a sustainable bioeconomy, these processes have to cope with significant uncertainties as many influencing factors play a role, such as climate change, technological and economic development, sustainability risks, dynamic consumption patterns and policy and governance issues. Based on a literature review and an expert survey, we identify influence factors for the future development of a wood-based bioeconomy in Germany. Four scenarios are generated based on different assumptions about the development of relevant influence factors. We discuss what developments in politics, industry and society have a central impact on shaping alternative futures. As such, the paper provides a knowledge base and orientation for decision makers and practitioners, and contributes to the scientific discussion on how the bioeconomy could develop. We conclude that the wood-based bioeconomy has a certain potential to develop further, if adequate political framework conditions are implemented and meet voter support, if consumers exhibit an enhanced willingness to pay for bio-based products, and if among companies, a chance-oriented advocacy coalition of bioeconomy supporters dominates over proponents of fossil pathways.

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Section: Introduction: the Wood-based Bioeconomy-aims Perspectives Amentioning

confidence: 99%

Possible Futures towards a Wood-Based Bioeconomy: A Scenario Analysis for Germany

et al. 2016

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“…Internal validity is crucial to organization theory, a field that stresses causal relationships and strives to guide organizational decision makers. Unless causal effects can be established, we cannot be certain of our theoretical models, nor can we demonstrate to managers that changing a particular parameter will truly result in desirable organizational outcomes (Galbraith 2012;Steinmetz et al 2012;Milkman et al 2021).…”

Section: Internal Validitymentioning

confidence: 98%

Primer for Experimental Methods in Organization Theory

Levine,

Schilke,

Kacperczyk

et al. 2023

Organization Science

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Experiments have long played a crucial role in various scientific disciplines and have been gaining ground in organization theory, where they add unique value by establishing causality and uncovering theoretical mechanisms. This essay provides an overview of the merits and procedures of the experimental methodology, with an emphasis on its application to organization theory. Drawing on the historical roots of experiments and their impact across science, we argue the method holds immense potential for furthering organization theory. We highlight key advantages of experimental methods, including high internal and construct validity, vividness in communicating findings, the capacity to examine complex and understudied phenomena, and the identification of microfoundations and theoretical mechanisms. We alleviate some concerns about external validity and offer guidance for designing and conducting sound, reproducible experimental research. Ultimately, we contend that the current experimental turn holds the potential to reorient organization theory. History: This paper has been accepted for the Organization Science Special Issue on Experiments in Organizational Theory. Funding: This work was supported by the Otto Moensted Foundation, which granted the Otto Moensted Visiting Professorship to S. S. Levine, and a National Science Foundation CAREER Award from the Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences [Grant 1943688] to O. Schilke. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2023.18093 .

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A practitioner's view of the future of organization design: Future trends and implications for Royal Dutch Shell

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Possible Futures towards a Wood-Based Bioeconomy: A Scenario Analysis for Germany

Possible Futures towards a Wood-Based Bioeconomy: A Scenario Analysis for Germany

Primer for Experimental Methods in Organization Theory

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