A Systematic Comparison of Model Predictions Produced by the buildingExodus Evacuation Model and the Tsukuba Pavilion Evacuation Data

Gwynne, S.; Galea, Edwin R.; Lawrence, Peter J.; Owen, M.; Filippidis, L.

doi:10.2190/6w20-vm9d-y3f2-qghe

Cited by 30 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…They suggested pre-movement time of 0-30 s gave the best representation of the exercise although did not say how that distribution was to be represented. Gwynne et al [4] cite a series of evacuation trials from an auditorium at the 1985 Tsubuka pavilion. They carried out comparisons between the evacuation trials and buildingEXODUS although they noted that "data was lacking in several areas".…”

Section: Literature Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Calculating Evacuation Times from Lecture Theatre Type Rooms Using a Network Model

Spearpoint¹,

Xiang²

2011

Fire Safety Science - Proceedings of the 10th International Sym

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This paper presents a series of trial evacuations from several university campus lecture theatres. The results from the trial evacuations are compared against simulations using a Monte Carlo network evacuation model. Data from a number of literature sources from lecture theatre type rooms is then used to further compare the predictions from the model. Results show that the model gives reasonable predictions when the constrictions provided by either the exit doors or the aisle widths are accounted for. The inclusion in the model of a reduction in maximum movement speed due to the rows of seats is found to give a general overprediction.

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Section: Literature Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Calculating Evacuation Times from Lecture Theatre Type Rooms Using a Network Model

Spearpoint¹,

Xiang²

2011

Fire Safety Science - Proceedings of the 10th International Sym

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show abstract

“…• Models available on a consultancy basis: PathFinder 49 , EESCAPE 50 , Myriad 51,52 , ALLSAFE [53][54][55] , CRISP [56][57][58][59] , EGRESS [60][61][62] .…”

Section: Features Of Egress Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Validations studies of buildingEXODUS 42,62 using the following buildings are available: seven pavilions of the Tukuba International Expo in 1985, the Stapelfeldt experiments (evacuation of police cadets from a school gymnasium), and the Milburn House, Newcastle-Upon-Tyne, UK. Reasonable agreement was found, when looking past deficiencies in the data.…”

Section: A-43mentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of building evacuation models

Kuligowski¹,

Peacock²

2005

262

214

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“…As discussed by Gwynne et al [4], ideally it would desirable to be able to compare an evacuation model against a number of repeated evacuation experiments each with sufficient detail to create the modelling inputs but such data sets are not guaranteed. Instead modelling exercises can be created to compare a model with other models, themselves subject to their own validation, which at least enables multiple runs and careful parameter variation to be carried out.…”

Section: Verificationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparative Verification Exercises on a Probabilistic Network Model for Building Evacuation

Spearpoint

2009

Journal of Fire Sciences

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Functional testing of any model is a vital step in demonstrating that its predictive capabilities are working appropriately; correspond as expected to the circumstances being modelled and where further work should be directed. This paper presents a series of exercises used to substantiate the movement prediction capability of a probabilistic network-based evacuation model that is currently under development. Two simple component configurations and two previously available worked examples are used to demonstrate that the model performs adequately. Movement times from model predictions, hand calculations, alternative empirical methods and other computer models were compared for a range of typical occupant densities.

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A Systematic Comparison of Model Predictions Produced by the buildingExodus Evacuation Model and the Tsukuba Pavilion Evacuation Data

Cited by 30 publications

References 5 publications

Calculating Evacuation Times from Lecture Theatre Type Rooms Using a Network Model

Calculating Evacuation Times from Lecture Theatre Type Rooms Using a Network Model

A review of building evacuation models

Comparative Verification Exercises on a Probabilistic Network Model for Building Evacuation

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