An Economy-Wide Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security in Bangladesh

Banerjee, Onil; Mahzab, Moogdho; Raihan, Selim; Islam, Nabiul

doi:10.1142/s2010007815500037

Cited by 22 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…In the past, only a few studies have used the CGE model to investigate the impact of climate change on Bangladesh. As a result, the findings of this study support prior research (Yu et al 2010;Banerjee et al 2014Banerjee et al , 2015 that found climate change negatively impacts the total economy. The results of this study also show that the overall economy in Bangladesh grew negatively due to climate change issues, which poses a significant concern for Bangladesh's economic development and food security.…”

Section: Model Simulation Results and Analysissupporting

confidence: 89%

Aftermath of climate change on Bangladesh economy: an analysis of the dynamic computable general equilibrium model

Hossain

Delin

2022

Journal of Water and Climate Change

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Climate change is widely acknowledged as a serious threat to global development, and Bangladesh is no exception; without a doubt, global warming has placed Bangladesh among the most vulnerable countries. The motivation behind this paper is to examine the effects of climate change by taking into account the changes in temperature and precipitation over time. This paper first evaluates the climate change impact on crop production by using a crop modeling framework and then constructs a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The result of this study finds that average gross domestic product (GDP) decreases by −6.17% and investment declines by −7.76% due to the climate change impact. The impacts of climate change on rice sectors were felt more intensely, increasing prices by 5.82 and 8.11%, reducing output by −3.08 and −3.7% collectively in 2030 and 2050. The agricultural sectors’ output declined more compared to the manufacturing, mining and gas, construction, service and transportation sectors, which indicates declines in agricultural labor and household income. In conclusion, climate change impact by analyzing the computable general equilibrium model in Bangladesh had paid little attention in the past and this paper tried to fill the gaps and provide policy-makers with crucial information and guide government policies.

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Section: Model Simulation Results and Analysissupporting

confidence: 89%

Aftermath of climate change on Bangladesh economy: an analysis of the dynamic computable general equilibrium model

Hossain

Delin

2022

Journal of Water and Climate Change

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“…For instance, global climate change is estimated to reduce Bangladesh’s GDP by 29,925 million Takas (−0.11 per cent) by 2030, with agricultural output falling by −1.23 per cent accompanied with a 1.52 per cent increase in food imports. The forecast for other South Asian countries is no better than that for Bangladesh (Banerjee et al , 2015). South Asia, though not a significant contributor of greenhouse gases (GHGs), bears a disproportionate brunt of the climate change impacts ranging from floods caused by glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs), rising sea level, salinity, water scarcity and extreme weather events.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 95%

An assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in South Asian agriculture

Wang

Lee

Son

2017

IJCCSM

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Purpose The purpose of this study is to synthesize the impacts of climate change on agriculture and assess the status of policies, programs and strategies to adapt small farm holders to climate change in South Asia. Design/methodology/approach The authors collected secondary information through a desktop review of policy documents, action plans and published reports. Face-to-face interviews with policy makers, agriculture and climate experts representing the government, non-governmental organizations, international development agencies and the private sector were also conducted to validate the secondary information. Findings The results revealed that agriculture is the dominant economic mainstay providing livelihood to over 70 per cent, employing 60 per cent of the labor force and contributing about 22 per cent of the regional gross domestic product. Climate impacts, such as floods, sea level rise and salt intrusion, increased frequency and intensity of storms, and pests combined with increasing water scarcity continue to reduce arable land, reduce yield of crops and threaten the food security of farmers. Adaptation efforts include using improved varieties of crop; changing cropping patterns and planting seasons; and water conservation techniques. However, progress remains low because of a lack of adequate technical knowledge and financial resources. Originality/value The amount of published literature on climate change and its impact on agriculture is increasing, but there is little effort to analyze and document impacts and strategies to adapt small farm holders to climate change at a landscape level, particularly in South Asia. This study fills in this gap and will serve as a valuable source of information for those wishing to conduct research or develop adaptation strategies for any of the four countries of Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal.

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“…In Bangladesh, one study has found that the overall effect of climate change by 2030 on national income is likely be small. But the effect on the agricultural sector is projected to be much larger, leading to reduced output, increased imports, and reduced caloric consumption (Banerjee et al 2015).…”

Section: Climate Change Food Security and Nutritionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Nutrition Sensitivity of Food and Agriculture in South Asia

Dizon¹,

Josephson²,

Raju³

2019

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The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

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An Economy-Wide Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security in Bangladesh

Cited by 22 publications

References 8 publications

Aftermath of climate change on Bangladesh economy: an analysis of the dynamic computable general equilibrium model

Aftermath of climate change on Bangladesh economy: an analysis of the dynamic computable general equilibrium model

An assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in South Asian agriculture

The Nutrition Sensitivity of Food and Agriculture in South Asia

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