Assessment of future flood inundations under climate and land use change scenarios in the Ciliwung River Basin, Jakarta

Mishra, Binaya Kumar; Emam, Ammar Rafiei; Masago, Yoshifumi; Kumar, Pankaj; Regmi, Ram Krishna; Fukushi, Kensuke

doi:10.1111/jfr3.12311

Cited by 104 publications

(67 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…However, the approaches applied today are focused on linking these two contradicting points of view on environment functioning. In recent literature the solutions proposed are aimed at assessment or planning of flood control strategies satisfying sustainability, e.g., Lumbroso et al [55], Meight and Barlett [56], Mishra et al [57]. More specific research is conducted when such hydro-structures as dams and weirs are considered to be important elements of the water system, e.g., Gao et al [58], Chen et al [59].…”

Section: Soil Typesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Possibilities of Controlling the River Outlets by Weirs on the Example of Noteć Bystra River

et al. 2020

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The possibility of effective control of selected dams in the Noteć Bystra river is analyzed. Such a control is expected to permit inundation of selected arable areas, e.g., peat grasslands, to avoid flooding of the city of Czarnków and the terrains located downstream. The chosen case study is the reach of the Noteć River between the dams Pianowka-Mikolajewo-Rosko. The analysis was made on the basis of simulations of the flow and regulation of dams in flood conditions. The flow peaks of hypothetical flood waves were designed according to the directions of the ISOK project (Informatyczny System Osłony Kraju przed nadzwyczajnymi zagrożeniami-IT System of the Country's Protection Against Extreme Hazards) as the maximum flows over 10-years (p = 10%), 100-years (p = 1%), and 500-years (p = 0.2%). The obtained results are presented as longitudinal profiles of the water surface, maps of inundated areas and maps of inundated soils. The main conclusion is that the robust control of dams reduces the peak of flow during flood wave propagation and forces inundation of the a priori selected areas. It helps to decrease the spatial range of the flood hazard and significantly reduces risk related to floods.Sustainability 2020, 12, 2369 2 of 20 reduce flood consequences [21,22]. Efficient decision support systems should permit analysis of weather forecasts as well as analysis of watershed outflow generation. Such a system should support determination of reservoir decision rules on the basis of all available information including reservoir capacity and current amount of water stored [23,24].The impacts of climate change on hydrological alteration such as floods and drought pose a significant threat to floodplain environments [25][26][27]. Integrated water resources management (IWRM) is a practical approach which promotes responsible development and management of water and land resources considering the main parts of sustainability, i.e., economy, equity, and environment [28,29]. Adaptation of existing water infrastructure to climate change is becoming an important strategy for water management in floodplain areas. Karpack et al. [30] have suggested that humans have impacted on floodplain functionality by changing the physical landscape of floodplains and by altering river flows. A generally accepted solution used for flood protection is construction of reservoirs [31,32]. This study shows that the water infrastructure (weirs and dams) located in rivers could also be effectively used for water management including flood protection as well as for regulation and control of seasonal inundation at floodplain areas. Similar results have been obtained by Contreras et al. [33], who have shown that river flood manipulations by weirs and sluice gates provide water for agricultural activity without costly infrastructural and technical investigations.Analysis of flood risk has become very important and is the basis for the EU Flood Directive that started to take effect from November 26th, 2007 [34]. The Directive obliges Poland as well as othe...

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Section: Soil Typesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Possibilities of Controlling the River Outlets by Weirs on the Example of Noteć Bystra River

et al. 2020

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“…DAS Ciliwung merupakan salah satu DAS kritis yang mana aliran sungai Ciliwung bermuara di Provinsi Jakarta dan sering mengakibatkan banjir. Beberapa studi telah mengidentifikasi dampak dari skenario perubahan iklim terhadap kondisi hidrologi DAS Ciliwung, meliputi perubahan intensitas banjir, nilai debit puncak, kualitas dan kuantitas air (Kumar et al, 2017;Mishra et al, 2018;Rafiei Emam et al, 2016)…”

Section: Pendahuluanunclassified

Determination of Extreme Hydrological Index using HBV Model Simulation Results (Case Study : Upper Ciliwung Watershed)

Lestari¹,

Dasanto²

2019

J.Agromet

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The study of climate change on hydrological response is a crucial as climate change impact will drive the change in hydrological regimes of river. Upper Ciliwung watershed is one of the critical rivers in Java Island, which has been affected by climate change. This study aims to: (i) simulate the discharge flow using the Hydrologiska Byrans Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV) model; (ii) simulate future flow using three general circulation models (GCM) namely Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Mk.3.6.0, Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 5 (MIROC5), and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory-Coupled Model generation 3 (GFDL-CM3); (iii) determine the changes of extreme hydrological index during historical period (2001-2015) and projected period (2031-2045). The historical year simulation and projections are used to determine eight hydrologic extreme indices for high flow and low flow. We calibrated the HBV model for two years (2001-2002) and validated it for two years (2003-2004). Our model performed well in discharge simulation as shown by the NSE values (0.66 for calibration and validation). Then we calculated the indices for each period used (historical and projected). To show the changes in hydrological regimes, we compare the indices between two periods. Changes in the index of the two periods tend to decrease in value on the index parameters that characterize the minimum extreme events. Hence, that it is possible in the projected period there will be extreme hydrological events in the form of drought.

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“…In the fields of hydrology and river engineering, there has been much research into estimating the flood magnitude using frequency analysis and predicting, or recreating the inundation area using numerical simulation [18][19][20][21]. In response to advances in numerical simulation and hydrological frequency analysis, there has been research into appropriate land use for flood damage mitigation, and the configuration of the flood inundation area [22][23][24]. However, numerical simulation and frequency analysis have problems such as the uncertainty of certain scales, limitations on the number of external forces, and the dependence of the calculation results on the boundary conditions [25][26][27].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influence of Microtopography and Alluvial Lowland Characteristics on Location and Development of Residential Areas in the Kuji River Basin of Japan

2019

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Adopting a comprehensive, basin-wide method for preventing flood disasters would be effective to deflect the climate-change-induced intensified water-related disasters. This study considers the land use and settlement patterns based on microtopography and flood risks. The influence of the microtopography and alluvial lowland characteristics on the location and development of residential areas in the Kuji River basin, Japan, is a fundamental aspect of historical knowledge. Investigating the relation between the microtopography and the location of antiquities shows that most of the relics dating to or before the third century were situated in the terraces near the lowlands. The development of lowlands near the mainstream of the Kuji River began around the third century. Furthermore, the relation between the microtopography and development of residential areas is investigated using building density as the development indicator. The results confirm the increase in building density in the alluvial surface, proving a history of flood damage and delayed development compared to other regions. This investigation reveals land development in areas, including the former river bed on the mouth of the Kuji River and the flood plain on the margins of the Hitachiota urban distinct, with no confirmed inhabitation before modern times because of elevated flooding risk.

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Assessment of future flood inundations under climate and land use change scenarios in the Ciliwung River Basin, Jakarta

Cited by 104 publications

References 36 publications

Possibilities of Controlling the River Outlets by Weirs on the Example of Noteć Bystra River

Possibilities of Controlling the River Outlets by Weirs on the Example of Noteć Bystra River

Determination of Extreme Hydrological Index using HBV Model Simulation Results (Case Study : Upper Ciliwung Watershed)

Influence of Microtopography and Alluvial Lowland Characteristics on Location and Development of Residential Areas in the Kuji River Basin of Japan

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