Spatial self-selection can be ascribed to two main factors: socioeconomic characteristics or attitudinal aspects towards travel and location choices. Several studies have investigated the influence of self-selection on the relations between travel behavior and land-use patterns. So far the results could be considered mixed.The model proposed herein uses data collected in 2009 for the Lisbon Metropolitan Area. A structural equations model was built to study the effects of spatial self-selection due to both socioeconomic and attitudinal effects. Three model specifications were considered: one treating attitudes toward travel as exogenous and two others considering them as endogenous. The preferred specification considered attitudes as exogenous. The land-use patterns are described by factors both at the residence and employment zones of each individual. The travel behavior variables included here are multidimensional and include commuting distance, car ownership, the number of trips by mode, and the total amount of time between the first and last trips. On account of the data characteristics and sample size, Bayesian estimation, as implemented in AMOS TM software, was used. The results obtained show that although the attitudinal variables significantly influence travel behavior, they do not annul the effects of land-use patterns in also contributing to shape the same behavior.Copyright 2014 João de Abreu e Silva. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution -NonCommercial License 3.0.
IntroductionOne of the main theoretical criticisms of the use of land-use policies as a way of reducing the level of car use and changing mobility in the direction of a more intensive use of transit and nonmotorized modes is related to residential self-selection. Residential self-selection can be defined as the tendency of people to opt for residential locations based on their abilities, needs, and preferences (Mokhtarian and Cao 2008; Cao et al. 2009). This concept could be extended beyond residential to other locational choices and to other dimensions of travel behavior like car ownership, car type choice, and modal preferences (van Wee 2009). Not accounting for self-selection could result in biased model results.Residential self-selection is related to the importance and direction of the relations between travel behavior and land-use patterns, and it is connected with the existence of causal relations between them. Here the concept of self-selection is extended to both residential and work location characteristics. Therefore, it will be referred as spatial self-selection, since it encompasses more than residential self-selection. In this paper, the impact of spatial self-selection in several travel behavior dimensions, covering both long-and short-term decisions, is studied. A preliminary analysis of the endogeneity of attitudinal effects vis-à-vis socioeconomic characteristics is made and, proceeding from that, a structural equations model (SEM) is developed. It is based on a previous model, which used the same base...