13Generalist species are becoming increasingly dominant in European bird communities. This has been 14 taken as evidence of biotic homogenization, where generalist 'winners' systematically replace 15 specialist 'losers'. We test this by relating changes in the average specialisation of UK bird 16 communities to changes in the density of species with different degrees of habitat-specialisation.
17Although we find the expected continued decline in community specialisation, this was driven by a 18 combination of a strong increase in the density of the most generalist quartile of species and declines 19 in the density of moderately generalist species. Contrary to expectation, specialist species increased 20 slightly over the 18 year study period, but had little effect on the overall trend in community
2Changes to the environment, such as climate change and land-use intensification, do not affect all 28 species equally (Rader et al. 2014). Habitat specialists may be more vulnerable to environmental 29 change than habitat generalists, due to their more restricted habitat requirements and potentially lower 30 ability to exploit new opportunities (Shultz et al. 2005). Environmental change could therefore lead to 31 a loss of differentiation in species composition between habitats, as a few generalist 'winners' replace 32 specialist 'losers ' (McGill et al. 2015). This is supported by negative relationships between 33 population growth rate and specialisation in a wide range of taxa (Munday 2004, Matthews et al. 34 2014, Timmermann et al., 2015, including birds (Julliard et al. 2004, Jiguet et al. 2007, Salido et al. 35 2012, and by observations of communities becoming increasingly composed of individuals of 36 generalist species (Davey et al. 2012, Timmermann et al. 2015.
37However, while individuals of generalist species make up an increasing proportion of
38European bird communities (Davey et al. 2012, Le Viol et al. 2012, it is unclear whether these
45We follow changes in UK bird communities over 18 years (2598 ± 597 SD 1 km squares 46 monitored each year). Our aims are to (1) quantify changes in community specialisation and (2) assess 47 the extent to which these changes reflect changes in the populations of specialist and generalist
66In this study, we used records in the first two bounded distance bands, and excluded records 67 of flying birds, with the exception of swifts, hirundines and raptors, as these species either are aerial 68 feeders or hunt from the air, so flying birds of these species are likely to be using resources within the Table S1 for a list of species).
79In order to turn raw abundances into estimates of density, we estimated detection probabilities Table S2 for other broader habitat classes). These covariates allow variation 88 in detectability over the breeding season and between habitats to be modelled. These models were 89 used to predict the probability of individuals of a species being detected in each transect section, and 90 these were averaged per species to obtain the pre...