Changes in transition to adulthood of young people in Serbia between 2003 and 2011

Tomanović, Smiljka

doi:10.2298/soc1202227t

Cited by 9 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…It could be argued that they are aware of their chances on the labour market, so they are less optimistic and think less about their career. Previous research has shown that for students with less economic and cultural capital it is more challenging to have a clear vision about their future (Heinz, 2009a;Tomanović, 2012a). This group of students is expected to rely less on personal characteristics because they are less confident about their abilities and chances to succeed based on their abilities and knowledge.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The transition to adulthood in Serbian society has been researched in numerous sociological studies (Tomanović, 2012a(Tomanović, , 2012bIgnjatović, 2009;Mihailović, 2004). These studies pointed out that society expects young people to actively plan and create their professional careers, to "self-direct" their decisions and to move to the adult phase of their lives.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Visions of Personal Future among Adolescents with Different Orientations Toward Educational Mobility

Polovina¹,

Gundogan²,

Radulović³

2021

Rev. sociol. (Online)

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Research of contemporary societies emphasises the importance of global economic circumstances, political uncertainties and social inequalities for young people’s visions of their personal future. This research is focused on general and career-specific aspects of adolescents' visions of personal future and how these relate to adolescents' orientation toward educational mobility. Educational mobility is determined by the equivalence/non-equivalence of parents’ levels of education and their offspring’s educational aspirations as expressed at the end of secondary schooling. According to this principle, three groups of participants were defined and their differences were analysed with respect to (a) general aspects of their visions of personal future, (b) career-specific aspects of their envisioned future, and (c) the perception of factors on which the achievement of career visions will depend. Significant differences among the three groups have been found in general and career-specific visions of the future. The findings of the study indicate that students who plan to attend university are more preoccupied with career and perceive personal characteristics as more important factors for achieving career goals than students without such plans. Finally, this paper suggests that, in order to fully understand young people’s visions of personal future from a micro and a macro perspective, it is fruitful to integrate psychological and sociological approaches.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Visions of Personal Future among Adolescents with Different Orientations Toward Educational Mobility

Polovina¹,

Gundogan²,

Radulović³

2021

Rev. sociol. (Online)

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“…This delay is explained as the result of a strong dependence on family (parental) material resources and psychological support. Although the transition to adulthood is prolonged, there is no evidence to suggest the presence of processes of destandardization and pluralization of life trajectories, as identified in some Western countries (Tomanović, 2012;Tomanović & Ignjatović, 2006, 2010.…”

Section: The Context Of Youth Civic Engagementin Serbiamentioning

confidence: 99%

Between “CV builder” and “Genuine” activist: The many faces of youth civic engagement in Serbia

Petrović

Stanojević

2019

Sociologija

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The aim of this paper is to explorethe characteristics and relative importance of civic engagement for young members of civil society organisations in Serbia. This article is exploratory in character and is based on qualitative methodology.Youth engagement is observed through the theoretical lens of the lifecourse approach. The questions addressedbythe paper are as follows: How do young people perceive their civic engagement? What motivates their participation? How does this engagement relate to other aspects of their lifecourse? The method used here is narrative analysis of 20 semi-structured interviews conducted with young volunteers and members of civil society organisations in Serbia selected through theoretical sampling.The key finding is that there is arange of motivations and accompanying strategies -from the purely idealistic to the highly instrumental. The majority of our respondents displayed a mixed type of motivation, successfully combiningactivities aimed at protectingthe "social good" with thosethat contribute to the achievement of personal goals. Motivation, however,tends to vary between the different types of organisations, professional and grassroots. Engagement in professional organisations is more frequently instrumental and, in contrast, grassroots organisations typically attract "genuine", value-driven activists.

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“…Ove razlike se smanjuju sa starošću nosioca domaćinstva i u starostima od 65 i više godina približavaju odgovarajućim stopama u Srbiji (Simons, Maschke, 2003). Očigledno je da se ključne razlike u Srbiji u odnosu na druge zemlje javljaju upravo u starostima kada pojedinci zasnivaju sopstveno domaćinstvo (Ignjatović, 2009;Tomanović, 2012a).…”

Section: Diskusijaunclassified

“…Imajući u vidu promene koje su se dešavale od početka 1980-ih godina, razlike između severne i zapadne Evrope sa jedne, i pojedinih zemalja centralne i južne Evrope sa druge, danas su daleko veće nego ranije (Alders, Manting, 2003;Bilinović, 2014). Sociodemografski pokazatelji o rađanju, bračnom, profesionalnom i stambenom statusu za populaciju Srbije u kasnim 20-im i ranim 30-im godinama starosti obično se tumače kao jedinstvena pojava "produžene adolescencije" (Ignjatović, 2009;Tomanović, 2012b;Tomanović, Stanojević, 2015;Stanojević, 2012;Tomanović, 2012a). "Pod pojmom produžene adolescencije, ili post-adolescencije se podrazumeva faza postajanja odraslima, devijantna odraslost, ili pak vremenski produžena mladost bez kvalitativnih specifičnosti" (Ignjatović, 2009: 10).…”

Section: Diskusijaunclassified

Household projections by the headship rates method: The case of Serbia

Vasić

2017

STANOVNISHTVO

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The headship rates method (HRM) of household projections based on the share of household heads in the total population of the same demographic characteristics (age, sex, nationality, marital status, etc.) is the most commonly used method, especially by statistical institutes and planning institutions. The specific rates of household heads by age are calculated by dividing the number of household holders of a certain age with the total number of residents of the appropriate age. The future number of households is then simply projected on the basis of population projections by age and assumptions about the future changes of HR. The HRM is based on the projection of the future age structure of the population. In that sense, the choice of methods of population projection, as well as the method of projecting HR-s have determining impact on the outcome of household projections. Given the methodological inconsistency typical for official population projections in Serbia and significant differences in addressing uncertainty of the future population change between deterministic and probabilistic approach in making population projections, the decision to use a probabilistic projection of the population of Serbia as the basis for calculating the future number of house-holds and their structure according to the age of the household head proved to be a logical choice. However, as the basic aim of this article is to show the simple method of household projections, the above-mentioned stochastic projection is used in utterly deterministic manner. The median of the prediction interval of the population distributed across age is interpreted as the most probable future, or as a prognosis. The HR-s based on the age structure estimates and estimated number of households by age of the household head from Household budget survey (HBS) are used for the purpose of HR projecting so that the number of observations would be large enough for calculating inclination parameters. The obtained rates show a tendency to decline during the observed period, however, in certain age categories, the rates are expressed by extreme values that are certainly the result of random sampling in the HBS for the purpose of analyzing consumption rather than analyzing the demographic characteristics of households, and must be taken with a certain reserve. Although the tendency of declining rates in most age categories is not unexpected, surely the intensity of decline is unexpected. For this reason, in the formation of the regression function, the extreme values of the rates are intentionally excluded in the following way: after calculating the regression line parameters, all the values of the rates that deviate from the regression values by more than 20 per cent are rejected, after which the regression parameters are recalculated. On the basis of the second calculation of the regression line, parameters are obtained. However, as the obtained parameters led to unexpectedly large HR changes according to the age of the household head until the end of the projection period (2040), it was assumed that the inclination parameter (b) would be reduced by 10 per cent annually compared to the start year of the regression line. On the basis of the rates according to the 2011 census data and the hypothesis on the slowdown of the observed trends in the future, future HR-s are calculated. Furthermore, based on the projected HR-s by age and future age structure of the population, the number of households by the age of the household head for the projection years is calculated. Based on the results of the projection, the total number of households will be reduced on average by over 11 thousand households per year. Also, compared to the 2011 census, it can be expected that the number of households in all age groups will be reduced by the end of the projection period, except in the category of household heads aged 65 and over that stabilizes to around 900 thousand households by the end of the projection period. Due to the decline in the number of households, the average household size will be reduced by 0.18 members in 2040 compared to 2011, from 2.89 to 2.71. The largest number of households in Serbia are family households, the share of single person households in the population under the age of 50 is small, and the structural barriers to the establishment of an indigenous household in persons under the age of 30 are significant. All of this makes it difficult to withdraw parallels with other European populations in terms of a possible path that the population and households in Serbia should follow in the projection period. Some of the projections of households produced by the HRM of a newer date for populations also found in the post-transition demographic stage show that the age at which the household is based, the mechanisms that affect the generation, change, and extinguishing of the household, which are characteristic for each society, result in significantly different values of age-specific HR-s. Of course, HR-s by age vary considerably among different populations. It is obvious that the key differences in Serbia in relation to other countries occur precisely at the age when individuals base their own household. The existence of postponing marriages and parenting that is recognized as key life-changing milestones in the transition to adulthood and the founding of one?s own household, the chronic lack of systematic housing policy towards young people and high youth unemployment are the main causes of the late establishment of their own household and the maintenance of low HR-s for persons under 30 years of age in Serbia. Nevertheless, during the first decade of the 21st century, there is a certain shift in the financial independence of young people, which gives some hope that in the future HR-s in the category between the ages of 30 and 39 can be slightly increased, which is confirmed on the basis of the sample of households from the HBS for the period 2006-2013. Namely, the tendency of a slight increase in the value of the rate for persons aged between 30 and 39 years is certainly the result of an increase in the age at which the household is based, which can be noticed on the basis of the reduction in rates for persons under the age of 30. On the other hand, a certain decline in the value of the rate characteristic for the households of the holders in their middle age (between 40 and 64 years of age) has an explanation in the increase in number and share of multi-family households in the period 1991-2011, especially in urban areas. During the 1990s, in the conditions of a deep socio-economic crisis, with the continuation in the next decade during the transition of the economic system, in conditions of significant poverty and the phenomenon of the retraditionalization of partnership arrangements within multi-family households, it is obvious that a significant number of families in the middle of their life cycle lived in within parental households whose carriers are aged 65 and over. In fact, as the increase in the HR-s during the thirtieth year of age is the result of deprivation of rates in younger persons, this is, by and large, a rise in rates for persons aged 65 and over due to a reduction in rates among carriers aged between 40 and 64 years. The presented method of household projections is not characterized by methodological sophistication, elegance and precision in reflecting changes in the structure of households according to the family composition and a detailed presentation of changes in the family status of individuals, but it certainly represents an simple way of household projecting according to the age distribution of carriers, the average size and the number of households. It seems that this approach, based on the stability of age-specific rates of household heads, without getting involved in the field of sociology, is quite precise in the medium term, especially given the simplicity in household projecting based on HRM.

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Changes in transition to adulthood of young people in Serbia between 2003 and 2011

Cited by 9 publications

References 28 publications

Visions of Personal Future among Adolescents with Different Orientations Toward Educational Mobility

Visions of Personal Future among Adolescents with Different Orientations Toward Educational Mobility

Between “CV builder” and “Genuine” activist: The many faces of youth civic engagement in Serbia

Household projections by the headship rates method: The case of Serbia

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