China's export tax rebate and the duration of firm export spells

Anwar, Sajid; Hu, Beibei; Jin, Yang; Kai, Wang

doi:10.1111/rode.12546

Cited by 16 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Our results about the effect of innovation on exports are consistent with the finding reported by the authors of [13]. Market concentration significantly accounted for the du…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

“…As the authors of [44] point out, the depreciation of the exporting country's exchange rate implies an increase in the importing country's purchasing power in the exporter's currency; this makes the exported products more appealing and increases the probability of export survival over time. The authors of [13] found that changes in bilateral exchange rates between China and destination countries are associated with a longer duration of exports from Chinese companies. The authors of [50] found that the depreciation of a country's currency reduces its risk of exit of its products from the export market or interruptions in export flow.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Export Survival from Latin American Countries

Morales

2022

Sustainability

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This study analyzes the impact of mobility, as a proxy for social distancing measures, on exports to the United States of America (USA). A mobility index based on Google mobility indicators was constructed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and an Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model was fitted to the data on export survival from a group of Latin American countries (LATAM). Higher mobility levels are associated with an acceleration of the risk of interruption of exports. On average, LATAM shows higher export survival levels compared to other countries. Higher innovation and market concentration favored export survival, while higher levels of Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) are associated with a lower probability of survival. Differences in survival were found between export sectors with regard to machinery and transportation equipment.

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“…Our results about the effect of innovation on exports are consistent with the finding reported by the authors of [13]. Market concentration significantly accounted for the du…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Export Survival from Latin American Countries

Morales

2022

Sustainability

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“…Second, studies increasingly apply firm-level data due to the budding availability of microlevel data such as the customs transaction data. Some examples of firm-level duration studies are Békés and Muraközy [37], Fu and Wu [38], Lejour [39], Zhu, Liu, and Wei [40], Anwar et al [41], and Kostevc and Kejžar [42]. Nevertheless, we focus on macrolevel studies since our study applies country-level data.…”

Section: Empirical Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Durability of Zambia’s Agricultural Exports

et al. 2021

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This paper establishes the determinants of the export durability of agriculture products in Zambia with specific attention to maize, sugar, cotton, and tobacco between 1996 and 2019. We find that approximately 39% of Zambia’s agricultural products were exported beyond the first year of trading and less than 10% lasted up to 6 years of trading. The mean and median duration of exporting agricultural products in Zambia was 1.7 years and 1 year, respectively. Among the products, maize had the highest export duration after the first year of trading, followed by sugar, tobacco, and cotton. Results of the discrete-time logit and probit models with random effects revealed that the duration of total agricultural products was significantly impacted by common colony, contiguity, partner’s gross domestic product (GDP), Zambia’s GDP, initial exports, and total exports. Of these factors, colonial history and Zambia’s GDP reduced export duration, while contiguity, partner’s GDP, initial exports, and total exports increased the durability of exports in Zambia. The effect of Zambia’s GDP was uniform across all individual agricultural products. Total exports also significantly impacted all other agriculture products in a similar manner except for maize. Export durability for cotton was significantly impacted by the Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs), while the export durability of tobacco was significantly impacted by distance, contiguity, and partner’s GDP. To increase the duration of agriculture exports, we propose the exporting of finished agriculture products (and not just raw materials), which have a higher market value and duration probability. Farmers also need support with export subsidies, increased foreign market access (especially to economies with higher buying power), and negotiated favorable trade terms in the region and around the globe.

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“…Globally, the puzzle of whether a trade relationship can survive over time has become a focus in recent empirical trade literature (Recalde et al ., 2016; Peterson et al ., 2018; Türkcan & Saygili 2018; Anwar et al . 2019). Early studies such as Besedes & Prusa (2006), Besedeš & Prusa (2011) and Besedeš (2008) find that the import duration to the United States from 180 countries on average was short, normally for 2–4 years.…”

Section: Global and New Zealand Evidence: The Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling New Zealand dairy products: evidence on export survival and duration

Luo

Bano

2020

Aus J Agri & Res Econ

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This article presents evidence concerning the pattern of New Zealand dairy exports duration and survival from 1989 to 2017. It also analyses the influence of a set of supply, demand and gravity‐type drivers on the hazard rate for New Zealand dairy export relationships. The findings are summarised as follows. First, New Zealand dairy export relationships are dynamic with numerous entries and exits to and from foreign markets. Around half of the relationships survived for only 1–2 years at the sequence level. Second, duration of sequence, left‐censoring, initial export, decomposed sequences, New Zealand export price index, the number of cows available for dairy production, the number of origins and destinations, and destination partner’s GDP are the most significant factors reducing the hazard rate of export relationships. As regards the effects of the non‐tariff measures, it is interesting that technical barriers of trade are found to significantly decrease the hazard rate. Only pre‐shipment inspection and contingent trade protective measures are significant impediments to New Zealand dairy export relationships. Finally, hazard probabilities for New Zealand dairy export relationships are estimated to be ‘L‐shaped’ over time, whether or not non‐tariff measures are applied to New Zealand dairy products.

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China's export tax rebate and the duration of firm export spells

Cited by 16 publications

References 28 publications

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Export Survival from Latin American Countries

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Export Survival from Latin American Countries

Durability of Zambia’s Agricultural Exports

Modelling New Zealand dairy products: evidence on export survival and duration

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