Consequence modelling for Arctic ship evacuations using expert knowledge

Browne, Thomas; Veitch, Brian; Taylor, Rocky; Smith, Jennifer; Smith, Doug; Khan, Faisal

doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2021.104582

Cited by 16 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…There are numerous studies devoted to the risk analysis of maritime transportation in Arctic waters, for instance, the environmental risk of Arctic navigation [5][6][7][8], process risk of the Arctic route [9,10], besetting risk in ice-covered waters [11][12][13][14], ship-ice collision risk [15][16][17], and maritime accident risks and consequences in Arctic waters [9,[18][19][20]. Compared with the above efforts to carry out risk assessments of maritime transportation in Arctic waters, few studies have focused on emergency response and rescue for Arctic shipping.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Emergency Port Decision-Making Method for Maritime Accidents in Arctic Waters

Wang

et al. 2023

JMSE

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The complex and variable hydro-meteorological conditions in Arctic waters and scattered and limited port infrastructures pose a great threat and challenge to Arctic emergency search and rescue. It is crucial to determine an available and effective emergency port for rescue in the event of a maritime accident occurring in Arctic waters. In the present study, a directed-weighted emergency port network consisting of maritime accident nodes and port nodes for maritime accident-prone areas in Arctic waters is developed based on complex network theory. For this, the maritime accident nodes are identified by using a K-means clustering algorithm based on historical accident data; the port nodes are determined by screening of the port location and scale; the weights for edges between accident nodes and port nodes are characterized in terms of ERT (emergency rescue time) and PEC (port emergency capacity), and the PECs for different emergency ports along Arctic waters are acquired by entropy-weighted TOPSIS. With the developed emergency port network, the topological properties associated with the accident nodes, port nodes, and the edge weights between accident nodes and port nodes are analyzed. What is more, the emergency ports for each maritime accident point occurring in Arctic waters are obtained and ranked.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Emergency Port Decision-Making Method for Maritime Accidents in Arctic Waters

Wang

et al. 2023

JMSE

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“…Under Evacuation and rescue topic, there are few models addressing evacuation and rescue quantitively outside the project (see Table 20). Browne et al (2021) inside the project completed some scenario based analysis using expert knowledge for understanding the consequence. Kruke and Auestad (2021) studied emergency preparedness and rescue in Arctic waters through previous ship incidents and accidents and SARex exercises.…”

Section: Extensive Review Outcomes Outside the Project To Supplement ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…No oil spill impact models on human health are seen. Although in the project Browne et al (2021) studied evacuation related life-safety consequence based on expert knowledge, there still lack health and life impact models for rescue and evacuation situations. Socio-cultural impact topic has no model yet and in long term this requires further studies.…”

Section: Extensive Review Outcomes Outside the Project To Supplement ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

On risk management of shipping system in ice-covered waters: Review, analysis and toolbox based on an eight-year polar project

Kujala

Kuikka

2022

Ocean Engineering

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“…Since at that time, large jobs (including applications on fast ferries catamarans and bulk carriers) has held by UK MCAs. Generally, in a recent year, final FSA application has growing significantly (Browne et al, 2021;Iswadi et al, 2022;Nata Kusuma et al, 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) for Ship Accident Risk Assessment: A Case Study of Work Accident MV Mandarin Ocean at Tanjung Priok Main Port

EP Marpaung,

Suranta,

Ferdinal Frengki Simarmata

2023

ARRUS J. Soc. Sci. Hum.

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Tanjung Priok Port is one of the busiest loading and unloading ports in Indonesia which serves both export and import activities, causing a risk of accidents that can occur. In order to anticipate these problems, an effort is required to identify and reduce the risk of accidents. This study aims to analyze the MV ship accident case of MV. Mandarin Ocean at the Main Port of Tanjung Priok. Through the implementation of the Formal Safety Assessment (FSA), it is expected that an accurate and scientific analysis will be obtained regarding the hazards that will occur, costs in risk control, and recommendations for overcoming them in the loading and unloading process at Tanjung Priok Port. This study used the Fault Tree Analysis method to find the root causes of accidents to reduce/eliminate the risk of accidents. Based on the research results, it is known that the Implementation of Safety Management System PT. Prima Bandar Samudera is not optimal. Likewise with the Monitoring Supervision of the Implementation of Safety Management carried out by PT. Tanjung Priok Port is also not optimal. Therefore, based on the priority scale on the FSA results, immediate implementation is necessary as a corrective measure to reduce and even prevent various accident cases that occur at the Tanjung Priok Port. This is to achieve the main goal of ship safety management, which is to realize "Zero Accident".

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Consequence modelling for Arctic ship evacuations using expert knowledge

Cited by 16 publications

References 12 publications

An Emergency Port Decision-Making Method for Maritime Accidents in Arctic Waters

An Emergency Port Decision-Making Method for Maritime Accidents in Arctic Waters

On risk management of shipping system in ice-covered waters: Review, analysis and toolbox based on an eight-year polar project

Analysis of Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) for Ship Accident Risk Assessment: A Case Study of Work Accident MV Mandarin Ocean at Tanjung Priok Main Port

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