2022
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102659
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COVID-19 and cryptocurrency volatility: Evidence from asymmetric modelling

Abstract: This paper analyzes the role of COVID-19 pandemic crisis in determining and forecasting conditional volatility returns for a set of eight cryptocurrencies through an asymmetric GARCH modeling approach. The findings report that the COVID-19 pandemic exerts a positive effect on the conditional volatility of those returns, while explicitly considering the pandemic event improves volatility predictions.

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Cited by 29 publications
(26 citation statements)
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References 45 publications
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“…Yousaf and Ali 2020;Polat and Günay 2021;Naeem et al 2021;Demiralay and Golitsis 2021;Raza et al 2022;Kumar et al 2022;Özdemir 2022;Ahmed and Sleem 2022). More importantly, asymmetric characteristics, tail risk, extreme volatility, and pricing bubbles in the cryptocurrency market have all been identified during the COVID-19 pandemic (see Nguyen et al 2020;Xu et al 2021;González et al 2021;Apergis 2022;Iqbal et al 2021;Montasser et al 2022;Ahn 2022;Shahzad et al 2022). Indeed, these typical features are all related to the higher-order moment risks, highlighting the necessity of analyzing the higher-order moment comovement and risk connectedness.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Yousaf and Ali 2020;Polat and Günay 2021;Naeem et al 2021;Demiralay and Golitsis 2021;Raza et al 2022;Kumar et al 2022;Özdemir 2022;Ahmed and Sleem 2022). More importantly, asymmetric characteristics, tail risk, extreme volatility, and pricing bubbles in the cryptocurrency market have all been identified during the COVID-19 pandemic (see Nguyen et al 2020;Xu et al 2021;González et al 2021;Apergis 2022;Iqbal et al 2021;Montasser et al 2022;Ahn 2022;Shahzad et al 2022). Indeed, these typical features are all related to the higher-order moment risks, highlighting the necessity of analyzing the higher-order moment comovement and risk connectedness.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nonetheless, volatility undergoes a temporary effect in its long-range correlation structure. Apergis (2021) analyzes how the Covid-19 pandemic can determine and forecast conditional volatility returns during the period 01/02/2020–31/10/2021.The empirical results that the health crisis affects significantly and positively the conditional volatility. James et al (2021) examine the extreme and erratic behaviors of cryptocurrency markets over the period 30/06/2018–24/06/2020.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They predictive model which includes the new impact can successfully forecast the volatility of cryptocurrency than the benchmark model. Apergis (2022) examines the importance of health crisis in determining and predicting conditional volatility returns for different digital currencies based on asymmetric GARCH model. The empirical results show that the Covid-19 pandemic significantly and positively affects the conditional return volatility.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%