2018
DOI: 10.1007/s11156-018-0771-0
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Default risk, state ownership and the cross-section of stock returns: evidence from China

Abstract: We apply a structural model to estimate firm-level default risk in China and investigate the stock return predictability of default risk and the moderating effects of state ownership for the sample period from 2003 to 2015. We show unique evidence that in China, default risk is positively associated with expected stock returns and state ownership matters considerably to the return predictability of default risk. We find investors of state-owned enterprises are not compensated appropriately in China despite of … Show more

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Cited by 20 publications
(24 citation statements)
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“…It has been proved that BC has high security, strong stability, non-tamper ability, and audibility. It can record transactions efficiently to protect bond corporates (Liu et al 2019 ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It has been proved that BC has high security, strong stability, non-tamper ability, and audibility. It can record transactions efficiently to protect bond corporates (Liu et al 2019 ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the meantime, China's insurers have answered the government's call to join the bailout of listed companies mired in the country's ongoing pledged-share crisis by planning to raise 68 billion yuan (US$9.8 billion) (https://www.asiatimes.com/2018/11/article/share-pledge-bailout-funds-now-exce ed-us71-96-bn/, https://www.caixinglobal.com/2018-11-15/insurers-join-bailout-effort-as-pledgedshare-crisis-continues-101347637.html). 13,15]. The Naïve model substitutes the distant-to-default measure from Merton [17] into a cumulative standard normal distribution to calculate the probability that the value of a firm's asset will be less than the face value of its debt.…”
Section: Measures Of Corporate Default Riskmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Government ownership is the percentage of shares owned by a government agency (Chen et al 2006;Liang et al 2013;Fan et al 2013;Lin et al 2016). A governmentcontrolled company is a dummy variable that is equal to 1 if the largest shareholder is a government agency and 0 otherwise (Fan et al 2007;Kwak et al 2009;Zhang, 2009;Liu et al 2019). Foreign ownership is the percentage of shares owned by foreign investors (Ferreira and Motas, 2008;Aggarwal et al 2011;Chen et al 2013;Chen et al 2016;Lin and Fu, 2017;Singla et al 2017).…”
Section: Ownership Structurementioning
confidence: 99%