Dynamic modelling of the climate change impact in the Conchos River basin water management

Austria, Polioptro F. Martínez; Hidalgo, Alberto; Gómez, Carlos Patiño

doi:10.24850/j-tyca-2019-01-08

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…Hence, dynamic models are used to represent dynamic variable interdependencies within a water-related system, since it is an appropriate methodology for modeling complex systems that can accurately predict actual water availability and easily evidence resource management improvements within the basin (Nandalal & Semasinghe 2006;Walton et al 2009). As a matter of fact, dynamic systems have already been used around the world in different contexts, such as for flood control, to regulate irrigation within a region, for urban water management, in aquifers and, particularly, their implementation has been widely studied at the basin scale (Mirchi et al 2012;Ryu et al 2012;Martínez et al 2019).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Dynamic water system modeling: a systematic review

Arroyo

Austria

2021

Water Practice and Technology

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Improving water resource management at a global scale is critical at this time. The risks to which bodies of water are currently exposed, whether due to climate change or anthropogenic conditions, affect water availability and quality in basins around the world. Nevertheless, water management has been revealed as a complex problem. In this light, one of the most promising methodologies is building dynamic simulation models, which may include the largest possible number of variables, not just hydrological. In this way, we may gain a broader perspective on all the natural and social dimensions encompassed in basins and, thus, improve decision making for the benefit of the population. This systematic review seeks to report the most representative results from several authors who have developed dynamic models applied to the management of water resources. Herein, special emphasis is placed on water resource management applied to basin models, decision making, and public policies, as well as on the modeling tools used and on model validation.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The most frequently used validation techniques are model replication, sensitivity analysis, verification based on previous data, validation from system experts, unit consistency, and subsystem evaluations, among others (Guo et al 2001;Ahmad & Simonovic 2004;Mirchi et al 2012;Martínez et al 2019).…”

Section: Model Validationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamic water system modeling: a systematic review

Arroyo

Austria

2021

Water Practice and Technology

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“…O pen A ccess bajo la lic encia CC BY -NC-SA 4 .0 (https ://c reativecommons.org/licenses/by -nc-sa/4.0/) 338 Tecnología y ciencias del agua, ISSN 2007ISSN -2422(1), 333-390. DOI: 10.24850/j-tyca-14-01-08 cuencas y mediante la modelación de estas variables (Hakala, Addor, & Seibert, 2018;Machekposhti, Sedghi, Telvari, & Babazadeh, 2018;Peña-Díaz, 2019;Martínez-Austria, Vargas Hidalgo, & Patiño-Gómez, 2019;Velázquez-Zapata & Troin, 2020). De la misma forma, existen algunos trabajos de estimación empírica para cuencas en el estado de BCS (Cruz-Falcón et al, 2013;Antonio, Martínez, Brandebourger, Mora, & Mahlknecht, 2017).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

Estimación de la recarga potencial por infiltración en la zona norte de Loreto, Baja California Sur, México

Verdugo

Arizpe²

2023

Tecnol. cienc. agua

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En este estudio se realiza una estimación de la recarga potencial por infiltración de lluvia en la zona norte de Loreto en el estado de Baja California Sur, México, donde se incluyen las cuenca de Gombedor, Loreto y San Bruno; ello, en respuesta a la escasa información en el área y la urgencia que representa la presión sobre los recursos hídricos. A partir de datos de precipitación y temperatura de las estaciones climáticas cercanas al municipio de Loreto se realizaron modelos de precipitación y temperatura mediante el método de interpolación Kriging; con estos modelos se calcularon la evapotranspiración, el escurrimiento y finalmente la infiltración potencial. Los resultados obtenidos fueron de 5.37 Mm3 año-1 para la cuenca de Gombedor, 13.37 Mm3 año-1 en la cuenca de San Bruno y 7.62 Mm3 año-1 en el norte de Loreto. En la cuenca San Bruno se encuentran los pozos de extracción que surten a la ciudad de Loreto, aquí se estimó una recarga potencial de 1.97 Mm3 año-1 con una precipitación media anual de 207 mm. La infiltración por la lluvia es una de las fuentes más importantes de recarga de los acuíferos, junto con los flujos subterráneos, y la recarga artificial o inducida. El modelo hidrogeológico conceptual permite abordar más fácilmente la situación de la cuenca para elaborar estrategias de manejo. Este tipo de modelos puede resultar eficiente donde no hay aguas superficiales, ya que brinda un buen pronóstico para zonas con pocos datos o que son difícil acceso mediante el uso de técnicas de sistemas de información geográfica y geoestadísticas.

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Presidential Elections and Public Expenditure in Social Development in Mexico, 1995 – 2016

Hernández¹,

Reyes²,

Bárcenas³

2019

ensayos

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The aim of this paper is to analyze the effects of presidential elections on the government’s social expenditure in Mexico over the 1995-2016 period. To do so, extended autoregressive models are estimated for the total social expenditures and two of its main components, to take into account economics factors. Among the most outstanding results is that the growth of GDP and total government revenues play a significant role as control variables. More importantly, there is (full) evidence of a political budget cycle on the total social public expenditure and (partial evidence) on the regional development function; on the contrary, there is no evidence on the function of provision and social assistance. These results, on the one hand, support the hypothesis of opportunistic behavior of the governments to stay in power by using public resources for political clientelism and, on the other, reflect the difficulties to capture these practices.

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Dynamic modelling of the climate change impact in the Conchos River basin water management

Cited by 4 publications

References 2 publications

Dynamic water system modeling: a systematic review

Dynamic water system modeling: a systematic review

Estimación de la recarga potencial por infiltración en la zona norte de Loreto, Baja California Sur, México

Presidential Elections and Public Expenditure in Social Development in Mexico, 1995 – 2016

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