2005
DOI: 10.1504/ijetm.2005.007761
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Empirical relationship between total consumption-GDP ratio and per capita income for different metals of a series of industrialised nations

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Cited by 18 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…The lack of long time-series records at the provincial level does not currently allow an investigation of whether such a U-shaped trend is a part of a more wide N-shaped term or not, as found in other works (see for instance Holtz-Eakin and Selden, 1995). Unfortunately, the novelty of the analysis carried out in this article does not allow any comparison with former studies applied to the Italian case, which take into account different types of pollutants and/or make use of time series at the national level (Focacci, 2005;Sica, 2005;Cialani, 2007;Mazzanti et al, 2007Mazzanti et al, , 2008aMazzanti et al, , b, 2009aAcaravci and Ozturk, 2010;Iwata et al, 2011;Wang, 2012;Zanin and Marra, 2012).…”
mentioning
confidence: 84%
“…The lack of long time-series records at the provincial level does not currently allow an investigation of whether such a U-shaped trend is a part of a more wide N-shaped term or not, as found in other works (see for instance Holtz-Eakin and Selden, 1995). Unfortunately, the novelty of the analysis carried out in this article does not allow any comparison with former studies applied to the Italian case, which take into account different types of pollutants and/or make use of time series at the national level (Focacci, 2005;Sica, 2005;Cialani, 2007;Mazzanti et al, 2007Mazzanti et al, , 2008aMazzanti et al, , b, 2009aAcaravci and Ozturk, 2010;Iwata et al, 2011;Wang, 2012;Zanin and Marra, 2012).…”
mentioning
confidence: 84%
“…, 并建立了二者关系的 Logistic 函数 模型 [15] 。Halada 等对日本铜消费分析显示, 在人均 GDP 大于 1.3 万美元之后铜金属消费量趋于稳定 [16] 。 ICSG 分析得出, 美国、 日本等高 GDP 国家人均铜金 属消费量趋于稳定, 低 GDP、 低收入国家铜金属消 费量很低, 而印尼、 中国等快速发展的发展中国家 人均铜金属消费量在持续增加 [17] 。Graedel 等对 49 与人均 GDP 高度相关 [18] 。陈其慎等通过对 16 个国 家铜消费数据分析, 提出了 "S" 形曲线的三个点: 起 飞点, 人均 GDP 为 3000 美元(1990 年 GK 美元, 下 同) ; 转折点, 人均 GDP 为 10 000~12 000 美元; 零增 长点, 人均 GDP 为 17 000~20 000 美元 [19] 。 对于铜金属消费强度与人均 GDP 的关系, 研究 者之间还存在分歧。Canas 等通过对 16 个工业化国 家物质消费发现, 金属消费强度与人均 GDP 呈倒 "U" 形关系, 即存在与环境库茨涅兹曲线 (EKC) 类 似的物质库茨涅兹曲线 (MKC) [20] 。Guzmán 等对日 本铜消费的研究支持 MKC 规律, 并确定由于技术 进步使得铜金属消费强度年均下降 2.9% [21] 。Focacci 对 5 个工业化国家和 3 个发展中国家铝、 铜等金属 消费研究得出, 虽然铜金属消费强度随人均 GDP 有 降低的趋势, 但是不一定呈倒 "U" 形关系 [22,23] [26] 。铜开发协会 (CDA) 估计, 美 国铜金属消费量最大的行业是建筑业, 占 44.0%; 其 次是交通运输, 占 19.0% [27] 。从供给侧来看, 铜金属 供给包括矿产铜和再生铜。由于铜矿资源分布极不 均匀, 全球矿产铜产量主要集中在少数几个国家 [28] [29,30] 。Radetzki 研究认为, 再生铜产 量与铜价格呈正相关关系, 与铜金属消费量、 铜产 品的寿命呈负相关关系 [31] 。 随着经济波动对铜金属供需关系的影响, 中长 期铜金属价格呈现交替上升与下行的周期性变化 (图 4) [32] 。Davutyan 等对过去 100 年的年平均铜价 格分析后认为, 铜金属价格波动周期具有一定的规 律性 [33] Figure 2 The relationship between copper consumption per capita and GDP per capita [11] 528 [38] 。 铜金属价格对铜矿企业的财务状况具有重要 的影响。Dooley 等、 Kriechbaumer 等认为金属价格 是影响采矿企业运营收益的主要因素 [39,40] 减少至 21 世纪初期的 1.3% [43] ; 美国铜矿品位从 20 世纪初的 2%以上降至 21 世纪初的 0.5% [44]…”
Section: 引言unclassified
“…Such a pattern is typical of a country in the early to middle stages of industrial development. 41,42 Predicting the future of metal intensity of use depends upon such factors as increased demand due to affl uence, rates of investment in heavy industries and real estate, and the elimination of outdated and wasteful production capacity. Given the contemporary trends in these factors, it will be a big challenge to make the proposed 30% reductions in metal intensity of use.…”
Section: China's Metal Cycle Effi Ciency and Governmental Strategiesmentioning
confidence: 99%