Enhancing the Practical Utility of Risk Assessments in Climate Change Adaptation

Connelly, Angela; Carter, Jeremy; Handley, John; Hincks, Stephen

doi:10.3390/su10051399

Cited by 43 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…This study used a semi-quantitative approach to risk assessment. In this context, the theoretical framework developed by Connelly et al illustrated risk management approach for climate change adaptation (see Figure 2) [40]. This research defined probability as the chance of occurrence of the risk, while the presence of a hazard is not indicating the risk, but rather, a hazard only becomes a risk when a system is exposed to the hazard and is vulnerable to it should it be exposed.…”

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confidence: 99%

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A Risk Based Approach to Evaluating the Impacts of Zayanderood Drought on Sustainable Development Indicators of Riverside Urban in Isfahan-Iran

et al. 2019

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In recent years, the Zayanderood River in Isfahan-Iran has been encountered by hydrological imbalance and drought. Literature review shows that long-term climate change, drought, and disruption of the river's water supply has led to depletion of underground aquifers and, consequently, gradual subsidence of the river and serious damage to old buildings and structures along the riverbank. This fact would be followed up by adverse environmental, social, and economic effect that could threaten the sustainable development of urban space. Therefore, it is necessary to use efficient risk identification and assessment approaches toward a more effective risk management. The goal of this study is to identify and prioritize the risks of river drought with regards to all three sustainable development areas including environmental, social, and economic. The research methodology was a mixed field method that included a set of questionnaires and interviews. To evaluate collected data, the analytic network process (ANP) method was used. Eighteen important risks were identified. Based on the results, decrease in the groundwater level, climate change, and gradual soil degradation were ranked first, second, and third, respectively. As this study examined the impacts of river drought on all three areas of sustainable development simultaneously and comprehensively, it is expected that the results will fill the existing theoretical and practical gap affecting improvements in assessment and management of sustainable development risks.

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confidence: 99%

“…Risk management for climate change adaptation[40].Risk (R) = f (Probability of a Hazard (p), × Exposure (E), × Vulnerability (V)…”

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A Risk Based Approach to Evaluating the Impacts of Zayanderood Drought on Sustainable Development Indicators of Riverside Urban in Isfahan-Iran

et al. 2019

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“…Both COP21 and a related international agreement, the Convention on Biological Diversity, have explicitly called for the consideration and integration of indigenous communities into their strategies [6]. Alongside these trends there has been a shift from qualitative descriptions of vulnerability to more quantified evaluations of risk, including the probability of occurrence of hazards, potential exposure to hazards, and the severity of potential impacts [7].…”

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confidence: 99%

Shifting Perspectives in Assessing Socio-Environmental Vulnerability

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2020

Sustainability

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Governments and institutions across the globe are conducting vulnerability assessments and developing adaptation plans to confront rapidly changing climatic conditions. Interrelated priorities, including the conservation of biodiversity, ecological restoration, sustainable development, and social justice often underlie these efforts. We collaborated with colleagues in an effort to help guide vulnerability assessment and adaptation (VAA) generally in Southeast Asia and specifically in the watershed of the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park (SIEP) in Phetchaburi Province, Thailand. Reflecting upon our experiences and a review of recent VAA literature, we examine a series of seven questions that help to frame the socio-ecological context for VAAs. We then propose a three-dimensional framework for understanding common orientations of VAAs and how they appear to be shifting and broadening over time, particularly in the USA. For example, key leaders in the SIEP project emphasized social development and community-based approaches over more ecology-centric approaches; this orientation was consistent with other examples from SE Asia. In contrast, many efforts for US national forests have evaluated vulnerability based on projected shifts in vegetation and have promoted adaptation options based upon ecological restoration. Illustrating a third, highly integrated approach, many VAAs prepared by indigenous tribes in the USA have emphasized restoring historical ecological conditions within a broader context of promoting cultural traditions, social justice, and adaptive capacity. We conclude with lessons learned and suggestions for advancing integrated approaches.

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“…A second theme cutting through the papers focuses on different approaches for assessing climate vulnerabilities and risks, or for identifying potential adaptation measures e.g. the value of microclimate modelling for climate sensitive urban design [6]; the utilization of climate risk assessments in a European context [7]; assessing livelihood vulnerabilities in the context of increasing flood risks [8], the use of computational fluid dynamics and GIS in the development of urban ventilation corridors [9], participatory impact assessments for heat waves [10], and operationalizing vulnerability assessments in Mexico [11].…”

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confidence: 99%

“…"Enhancing the Practical Utility of Risk Assessments in Climate Change Adaptation" by Connelly et al [7] explores the value of risk-based approaches to climate assessments through both conceptual and applied lenses. Their paper argues that spatial risk assessment methodologies identify the highest risks and the locations where impacts are most likely, enabling prioritization of risks and allowing decision-makers to consider different choices under conditions of uncertainty.…”

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confidence: 99%