Environmental Hazards as Disamenities: Selective Migration and Income Change in the United States from 2000–2010

Shumway, J. Matthew; Otterstrom, Samuel M.; Glavac, Sonya

doi:10.1080/00045608.2013.873322

Cited by 14 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 35 publications

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“…For example, Logan, Issar, and Xu (2016) found that between 1970 and 2005, Gulf Coast counties with higher levels of hurricane-related damage experienced reduced growth for up to three years after the hurricane event, especially in counties with low poverty rates. Similarly, Shumway, Otterstrom, and Glavac (2014) used county-to-county migration flow data from 2000 to 2010 to show that counties with high environmental hazard impacts lose residents through net out-migration, and those out-migrants tend to be higher income residents who move to counties with lower cumulative hazard losses. These studies provide evidence that damage-related losses from hurricanes and other natural hazards suppress population growth when those who can afford to move to less hazardous places choose to do so and they are not replaced by in-migrants.…”

Section: Weather Hazards and Population Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Weather-Related Hazards and Population Change

Fussell¹,

Curran²,

Dunbar³

et al. 2016

The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Scie

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Environmental determinists predict that people move away from places experiencing frequent weather hazards, yet some of these areas have rapidly growing populations. This analysis examines the relationship between weather events and population change in all U.S. counties that experienced hurricanes and tropical storms between 1980 and 2012. Our database allows for more generalizable conclusions by accounting for heterogeneity in current and past hurricane events and losses and past population trends. We find that hurricanes and tropical storms affect future population growth only in counties with growing, high-density populations, which are only 2 percent of all counties. In those counties, current year hurricane events and related losses suppress future population growth, although cumulative hurricane-related losses actually elevate population growth. Low-density counties and counties with stable or declining populations experience no effect of these weather events. Our analysis provides a methodologically informed explanation for contradictory findings in prior studies.

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Section: Weather Hazards and Population Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Weather-Related Hazards and Population Change

Fussell¹,

Curran²,

Dunbar³

et al. 2016

The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Scie

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“…Longitudinal analyses that has assessed changes in the aggregate social composition of populations following the siting of hazardous waste storage and disposal facilities have mostly found little evidence of increases in social inequalities (Been & Gupta, 1997;Cameron & McConnaha, 2006;Morello-Frosch, Pastor Jr, Porras, & Sadd, 2002;Oakes, Anderton, & Anderson, 1996;Pastor, Sadd, & Hipp, 2001; Shaikh & Loomis, 1999). However, recent studies that have directly assessed patterns of migration have produced stronger evidence that selective mobility increases social inequalities in exposure to environmental hazards (Banzhaf & Walsh, 2008;Crowder & Downey, 2010;Depro, Timmins, & O'Neil, 2012;Gawande, Bohara, Berrens, & Wang, 2000;Shumway, Otterstrom, & Glavac, 2014).…”

Section: Moves To Healthy and Unhealthy Environmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The general and mental health of movers to more- and less-disadvantaged socio-economic and physical environments within the UK

Tunstall¹,

Mitchell

Pearce

et al. 2014

Social Science & Medicine

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Residential mobility may play an important role in influencing both individual health, by determining individual exposures to environments, and area health, by shaping area population composition. This study is the first analysis of migration within the UK to compare general and mental health among adults by age group and consider moves between neighbourhoods with different levels of both socio-economic and physical environment disadvantage. The analysis assesses 122,570 cases from the annual British Household Panel Survey, 1996-2006, based upon pooled data describing moves between consecutive waves of the survey. It assesses the rates and binary logistic regression model odds of self-reported general health and mental health problems of movers and stayers by age group. It also compares movers between Census Area Statistics wards in the UK with different levels of Carstairs and Multiple Environmental Deprivation Index (MEDIx) scores. At all ages, movers had similar or higher odds of poor general and mental health relative to non-movers. Risk of mental health problems were particularly elevated among movers and remained significant after adjustment for socio-demographic variables in most age groups. In adjusted analysis of all adults odds of poor general and mental health were most elevated among movers to more socio-economically deprived areas, with the highest odds for mental health (1.54 95% CI 1.27-1.86). In contrast, risk of poor mental health among total adults was greatest among movers to better physical environments (1.40 95% CI 1.16-1.70). This study therefore finds little evidence of 'healthy migrant effects' among recent movers within the UK and suggests movers have particularly elevated risk of mental health problems. It also indicates that selective migration may not contribute to poor health found in UK neighbourhoods with multiple physical environment deprivation. Further analysis should explore why people with mental health problems are more likely to move to socio-economically deprived neighbourhoods.

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“…New demands for increased energy and power in new and different locations will challenge the power grid as it evolves over the next decades. Climate change and resulting extreme weather events will affect these challenges as electricity demand will rise with temperature rise [1] and population will move in response to extreme weather events to locations less vulnerable to environmental hazards [2][3][4].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Electricity Demand Evolution Driven by Storm Motivated Population Movement

Allen¹,

Fernandez

Fu³

et al. 2014

J Geogr Nat Disast

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Managing the risks to reliable delivery of energy to vulnerable populations posed by local effects of climate change on energy production and delivery is a challenge for communities worldwide. Climate effects such as sea level rise, increased frequency and intensity of natural disasters, force populations to move locations. These moves result in changing geographic patterns of demand for infrastructure services. Thus, infrastructures will evolve to accommodate new load centers while some parts of the network are underused, and these changes will create emerging vulnerabilities. Forecasting the location of these vulnerabilities by combining climate predictions and agent based population movement models shows promise for defining these future population distributions and changes in coastal infrastructure configurations. In this work, we created a prototype agent based population distribution model and developed a methodology to establish utility functions that provide insight about new infrastructure vulnerabilities that might result from these new electric power topologies. Combining climate and weather data, engineering algorithms and social theory, we use the new Department of Energy (DOE) Connected Infrastructure Dynamics Models (CIDM) to examine electricity demand response to increased temperatures, population relocation in response to extreme cyclonic events, consequent net population changes and new regional patterns in electricity demand. This work suggests that the importance of established evacuation routes that move large populations repeatedly through convergence points as an indicator may be under recognized.

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Environmental Hazards as Disamenities: Selective Migration and Income Change in the United States from 2000–2010

Cited by 14 publications

References 35 publications

Weather-Related Hazards and Population Change

Weather-Related Hazards and Population Change

The general and mental health of movers to more- and less-disadvantaged socio-economic and physical environments within the UK

Electricity Demand Evolution Driven by Storm Motivated Population Movement

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