Evaluation of climate change impacts on energy demand

Taseska, Verica; Markovska, Nataša; Callaway, J.M.

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2012.06.053

Cited by 47 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…The study develops a long-term optimization model to examine national energy system adaptation pathways. Similarly, adaptation of Macedonia's energy system to climate change-driven shifts in demand was investigated using an optimization modeling framework (Taseska et al 2012). An optimization approach was further investigated in the US for electricity generation planning under impacts of climate change on thermoelectric generation (Cohen et al 2014).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Robust response to hydro-climatic change in electricity generation planning

Parkinson

Djilali

2015

Climatic Change

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An electricity generation planning framework incorporating adaptation to hydroclimatic change is presented. The planning framework internalizes risks and opportunities associated with alternative hydro-climate scenarios to identify a long-term system configuration robust to uncertainty. The implications of a robust response to hydro-climatic change are demonstrated for the electricity system in British Columbia (BC), Canada. Adaptation strategy is crucial in this region, mainly due to the large contribution of hydropower resources to regional electricity supply. Analysis of results from basin-scale hydrologic models driven with downscaled global climate data suggest that shifts in regional streamflow characteristics by the year 2050 are likely to increase BC's annual hydropower potential by more than 10 %. These effects combined with an estimated decrease in electricity demand by 2 % due to warmer temperatures, could provide an additional 11 TWh of annual energy. Uncertainties in these projected climate impacts indicate technology configurations offering significant long-term operational flexibility will be needed to ensure system reliability. Results from the regional long-term electricity generation model incorporating adaptive capacity show the significant shifts required in the non-hydro capacity mix to ensure system robustness cause an increase in cumulative operating costs of between 1 and 7 %. Analysis of technology configurations involving high-penetrations of wind generation highlights interactions between flexibility requirements occurring over multiple temporal scales. Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Robust response to hydro-climatic change in electricity generation planning

Parkinson

Djilali

2015

Climatic Change

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“…Nos últimos anos as sociedades têm tido preocupações sobre os temas das emissões antropogênicas da queima de combustíveis fósseis que exerce efeito relevante sobre o clima da Terra (Barzagli & Mani, 2019;Lelieveld et al, 2019;Solomon et al, 2007;Taseska et al, 2012). As inúmeras pesquisas têm demonstrado modificações radicais impactantes dos ecossistemas, que por um efeito dominó tem atingido grande parcela da humanidade, principalmente em países periféricos.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…As inúmeras pesquisas têm demonstrado modificações radicais impactantes dos ecossistemas, que por um efeito dominó tem atingido grande parcela da humanidade, principalmente em países periféricos. Atualmente ocorre uma necessidade mundial para abordar as causas da mudança climática antropogênica que envolverá regulação e gestão (Taseska et al, 2012).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Os indivíduos e suas instituições supranacionais e nacionais desempenham um papel fun-damental na condução da política de mudanças climáticas e as atitudes e na geração de conhecimentos que possam moldar a implementação de políticas de mudanças climáticas (Taseska et al, 2012;Kiessling, 2018). A maioria das informações disponibilizadas ao público em geral, no entanto, provém de fontes não científicas e majoritariamente subjetivas, provenientes da internet, da imprensa popular e da comunicação interpessoal (McBean & Hengeveld, 2000).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

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História geológica da terra

et al. 2020

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Este artigo apresenta os resultados da experiência de ensino realizada em forma de uma Mesa Redonda realizada durante as atividades em grupo da disciplina Geologia Histórica no segundo semestre de 2019. O Aquecimento Global e o movimento terraplanista foram discutidos durante a atividade prática em sala de aula, na qual os alunos debateram argumentos e contra-argumentos referentes a ambos os temas. Os participantes responderam questionários antes e após a Mesa Redonda para melhor avaliar as percepções pessoais e grupais do experimento. Os resultados mostram o aprofundamento teórico dos estudantes sobre a História das Geociências e sobre estudos documentativos e científicos relativos aos temas debatidos. Os resultados da atividade contribuíram para ampliar o conhecimento dos estudantes sobre Geologia Histórica, trazendo novas perspectivas e modificando preconcepções sobre os temas debatidos. O experimento ressalta a importância da divulgação da história da Ciência e da metodologia científica na formação do cidadão crítico no cenário socio-científico contemporâneo.

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“…First, it is one of the few studies in the literature to integrate the climate change effects in both the demand and supply-side using "downscaled" climate projections. We could find only three other peer-reviewed studies that have integrated a detailed climate input into a capacity expansion model [10,11,12]. LP-CEM uses detailed hourly temperature projections data to model the changes to system demand.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

LP-CEM: A modeling tool for power systems planning incorporating climate change effects and macroeconomic trends for New Jersey, United States

Chandramowli

Felder

Mantell

et al. 2016

Energy Strategy Reviews

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The electric power sector is highly vulnerable to climate change, yet long-term capacity expansion models often fail to take into account for it. This paper presents an overview of LP-CEM (Linear Programming based Capacity Expansion Model), which incorporates both the effects of long-term warming and the state/regional-level macroeconomic trends. We apply the modeling framework for the electric power system in New Jersey, United States. Some of the methodological advances introduced in this research are: the use of high-resolution temperature projections data in a power sector capacity expansion model; the incorporation of changes in sectoral composition of electricity demand over time; the incorporation of the effects of climate change and variability on both the demand and supply-side of power sector using parameters estimated in the literature; and an inter-model coupling link with a macroeconomic model to account for price elasticity of demand and other effects on the broader macro-economy. LP-CEM-type models can be of use to state/region-level policymakers to plan for future mitigation and adaptation policies to climate change. Scenarios with climate variability, climate change effects and with high economic growth rates result in higher capacity additions, supply costs, wholesale/retail prices and total ratepayers' costs in the next forty years.

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Evaluation of climate change impacts on energy demand

Cited by 47 publications

References 18 publications

Robust response to hydro-climatic change in electricity generation planning

Robust response to hydro-climatic change in electricity generation planning

História geológica da terra

LP-CEM: A modeling tool for power systems planning incorporating climate change effects and macroeconomic trends for New Jersey, United States

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