2011
DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jir717
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Evolutionary Ecology of Human Papillomavirus: Trade-offs, Coexistence, and Origins of High-Risk and Low-Risk Types

Abstract: Our results indicate that the elimination of HR HPV through vaccines may alter the evolutionary trajectory of the remaining types and promote evolution of new HR HPV types.

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Cited by 39 publications
(52 citation statements)
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“…For an infection of 1.5 years (HPV-16 is cleared between 0.5 and 4.9 years [48] and on average before 2 years) we find that the optimal oncogene expression, 1*, is below 0.2 ( figure 3a). This model thus depicts the HR HPV type strategy of producing few extra self-dividing infected cells in order to have lesions that are fairly flat on the surface during acute infections [16].…”
Section: Results (A) Unvaccinated Host Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…For an infection of 1.5 years (HPV-16 is cleared between 0.5 and 4.9 years [48] and on average before 2 years) we find that the optimal oncogene expression, 1*, is below 0.2 ( figure 3a). This model thus depicts the HR HPV type strategy of producing few extra self-dividing infected cells in order to have lesions that are fairly flat on the surface during acute infections [16].…”
Section: Results (A) Unvaccinated Host Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Clearance after immune detection, then, appears to be a major factor affecting HPV's life history. Therefore, we and Orlando et al [16] believe that the main trade-off that affects this virus is the transmission-recovery trade-off [17,18], and not the classic transmission-virulence trade-off that constrains more virulent pathogens [16] (we are unaware of studies that suggest the contrary). The transmission-recovery trade-off posits that host recovery is the main limitation on pathogen replication because if recovery happens before transmission, then the pathogen's basic reproduction number R 0 is less than 1 and it cannot persistently circulate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 83%
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“…Since that time, our knowledge of the virus in subjects with HPV-associated lesions has increased, revealing the great complexity of the ecosystem of this pathogen [3-5]. …”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%