2011
DOI: 10.1057/ap.2010.17
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Explaining the strange decline of the populist radical right Vlaams Belang in Belgium: The impact of permanent opposition

Abstract: Despite the proliferation of studies exploring the success of the populist radical right, there is a lack of research on why these parties decline or fail. And when this question is addressed, the literature focuses on supply-side variables such as leadership battles or a lack of organizational structure. These explanations largely fall short, however, in understanding the strange decline of the Belgian Vlaams Belang at the latest elections. Instead, it is argued that there is less space available for the popu… Show more

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Cited by 75 publications
(34 citation statements)
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“…It is however not clear whether it is an effective strategy if the purpose is to undermine electoral support. Results on the effects of exclusion on electoral outcomes of PRR parties are mixed ( Pauwels, 2011b ; Van Spanje and Van der Brug, 2009 ).…”
Section: The External Supply-side: Political Constraints and Opportunmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is however not clear whether it is an effective strategy if the purpose is to undermine electoral support. Results on the effects of exclusion on electoral outcomes of PRR parties are mixed ( Pauwels, 2011b ; Van Spanje and Van der Brug, 2009 ).…”
Section: The External Supply-side: Political Constraints and Opportunmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…When a populist party's representation in parliament becomes so substantial that it reaches 'coalition potential' (Sartori 1976: 122), the party may no longer be able to increase its support base. In some cases, populist parties are forced to stay in permanent opposition (cordon sanitaire), which might lead their supporters to consider a stable vote irrelevant in the long run (Pauwels 2011). In addition, government participation by populist parties comes with electoral risks as well.…”
Section: How Do the Dissatisfied Vote?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The federal election of 1995 was overshadowed by the fear of the further expansion of the radical right Vlaams Blok, which attracted more than 10 per cent of the Flemish votes in the preceding 'Black Sunday' national election of 1991. Nevertheless, the electoral expansion of the radical right was largely contained by the cordon sanitaire (Pauwels 2011). Consequently, the Christian and Social Democrats could consolidate its governing coalition.…”
Section: Cases Data and Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%