Forecasting global developments in the basic chemical industry for environmental policy analysis

Broeren, M.L.M.; Saygin, Deǧer; Patel, Martin Kumar

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2013.09.025

Cited by 44 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…g Natural gas-based heat is implicitly included (i.e. without incorporating cost-structures in detail) by assuming a process efficiency of 90%, which is representative of industrial heat generation in member-countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (Saygin et al, 2014). This is a simplification as efficiencies may vary per sector (within industry or across other end-users such as households) or fuel type.…”

Section: Conversion Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Additional technical parameters and other inputs are presented in Table 31 to Table 35. Table 31 Technical and economic parameters of electricity generating technologies modelled in MARKAL-NL-UU Table 32 Technical and economic parameters of CHP technologies modelled in MARKAL-NL-UU (excluding units for district heating) Table 33 Location factors in reference to Europe (Broeren et al, 2014) Table 34 Fixed cost components based on (Hermann & Patel, 2007) …”

Section: Conventional Conversion Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II)

Meijl¹,

Tsiropoulos²,

Bartelings³

et al. 2016

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This study was carried out by LEI Wageningen UR and Copernicus Institute of Utrecht University and was commissioned and financed by the topsector platform for knowledge development and innovation of the crosscutting theme bio-based economy (TKI-BBE) and the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs (Min EZ). The study is performed within the BE-Basic R&D programme and project partners Essent, DSM and Corbion provided in-kind contributions to the economic and technical aspects of the work. LEI Wageningen URWageningen, March 2016 REPORT LEI 2016 Van Meijl, H., I. Tsiropoulos, H. Bartelings, M. van den Broek, R. Hoefnagels, M. Van Leeuwen, E. Smeets, A. Tabeau and A. Faaij, 2016. Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II De Nederlandse overheid verwacht dat een grootschalige toepassing van biomassa nodig is om aan de emissiedoelstellingen te voldoen, maar de macro-economische effecten hiervan op de Nederlandse economie zijn onbekend. Deze studie onderzoekt de effecten van een bio-economie op zowel systeemals macro-economisch niveau en toont aan dat de bio-economie positief kan bijdragen aan de Nederlandse economie, het behalen van broeikasgasreductiedoelstellingen en aan het reduceren van de kosten van het terugdringen van broeikasgasemissies. Om deze effecten te realiseren zijn grootschalige technologische veranderingen en wereldwijde markten belangrijk, maar lage prijzen van fossiele energie leiden tot minder macro-economische voordelen. Om de positieve macro-economische effecten en CO 2 -reductie te realiseren is een stimuleringsbeleid noodzakelijk.To meet the emission targets, the Dutch government expects that a large-scale deployment of biomass is needed but the macroeconomic impacts on the Dutch economy are unknown. This study analyses the impacts of the bio-based economy at both system and macroeconomic levels and shows that large-scale deployment of biomass up to 2030 positively contributes to the Dutch economy, contributes to meeting the emission reduction targets and to reducing its macroeconomic costs. High technological change and global markets are important to achieve these impacts, but low fossil energy prices reduce the macroeconomic benefits. To achieve the positive macroeconomic impacts and emission reduction, a stimulus by policies is necessary.Key words: Bioeconomy, macro-economic impacts, technological change, international markets, bottom-up analyses, modelling, renewable energy policies, bio-refineries, Netherlands. The user may reproduce, distribute and share this work and make derivative works from it. Material by third parties which is used in the work and which are subject to intellectual property rights may not be used without prior permission from the relevant third party. The user must attribute the work by stating the name indicated by the author or licensor but may not do this in such a way as to create the impression that the author/licensor endorses the use of the work or the work of the user. The user may not use the work for commercial purpo...

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Section: Conversion Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Conventional Conversion Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II)

Meijl¹,

Tsiropoulos²,

Bartelings³

et al. 2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In the chemical sector as a whole, the IEA [39] estimates that application of best practice could save 24% of current energy use, while Broeren et al [45] find that 25% of emission reductions are possible. The chemical industry is very heterogeneous, with a large number of inputs, processes and products.…”

Section: Ethylene Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Re-Industrialisation and Low-Carbon Economy—Can They Go Together? Results from Stakeholder-Based Scenarios for Energy-Intensive Industries in the German State of North Rhine Westphalia

et al. 2015

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Abstract:The German federal state of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) is home to one of the most important industrial regions in Europe, and is the first German state to have adopted its own Climate Protection Law (CPL). This paper describes the long-term (up to 2050) mitigation scenarios for NRW's main energy-intensive industrial sub-sectors which served to support the implementation of the CPL. It also describes the process of scenario development, as these scenarios were developed through stakeholder participation. The scenarios considered three different pathways (best-available technologies, break-through technologies, and CO2 capture and storage). All pathways had optimistic assumptions on the rate of industrial growth and availability of low-carbon electricity. We find that a policy of "re-industrialisation" for NRW based on the current industrial structures (assumed here to represent an average growth of NRWs industrial gross value added (GVA) of 1.6% per year until 2030 and 0.6% per year from 2030 to 2050), would pose a significant challenge for the achievement of overall energy demand and German greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets, in particular as remaining efficiency potentials in NRW are limited. In the best-available technology (BAT) scenario CO2 emission reductions of only 16% are achieved, whereas the OPEN ACCESSEnergies 2015, 8 11405 low carbon (LC) and the carbon capture and storage (CCS) scenario achieve 50% and 79% reduction respectively. Our results indicate the importance of successful development and implementation of a decarbonised electricity supply and breakthrough technologies in industry-such as electrification, hydrogen-based processes for steel, alternative cements or CCS-if significant growth is to be achieved in combination with climate mitigation. They, however, also show that technological solutions alone, together with unmitigated growth in consumption of material goods, could be insufficient to meet GHG reduction targets in industry.

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“…Actual operating data should be used to evaluate if the model suggestions are consistent and applicable. Worldwide, trend of energy consumption in chemical sector can grow up to 50% by 2030, according to the study of Utrecht University in Netherlands [5].…”

Section: Framework and Mathematical Model Formulationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Enterprise-wide optimization in a petrochemical plant: a MILP approach to energy efficiency improvement

2017

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Public policy, dollar rate, market prices, contracts values and equipment efficiency influence the costs of the energy sources at an ethylene plant. The aim of this research is to identify energy efficiency opportunities at the energy management resources in a petrochemical industry. It was proved that using MILP makes it possible to achieve energy efficiency gains. MILP proved to be effective, accurate and robust. It confirmed the importance of modeling and simulation with quick response and its implementation in a higher possible rate, since the potential gains running the model once per day were 81% higher than performing it once a month. The optimal resources choice had an average annual potential saving of US$ 556.000/year.

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Forecasting global developments in the basic chemical industry for environmental policy analysis

Cited by 44 publications

References 23 publications

Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II)

Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II)

Re-Industrialisation and Low-Carbon Economy—Can They Go Together? Results from Stakeholder-Based Scenarios for Energy-Intensive Industries in the German State of North Rhine Westphalia

Enterprise-wide optimization in a petrochemical plant: a MILP approach to energy efficiency improvement

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