2021
DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/638/1/012029
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Freeway Short-Term Travel Time Prediction Based on LightGBM Algorithm

Abstract: In order to realize the prediction of freeway travel time, a short-term travel time prediction model based on LightGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine) is proposed under the influence of weather factors, time period factors, and traffic factors. These factors are called as the features used for increase prediction accuracy. The travel time of a single vehicle is determined by license plate recognition data of two adjacent video monitors in Shaoxing section of Shanghai-Hangzhou-Ningbo Freeway, and a better tra… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…In addition, the LightGBM algorithm selects 'Leaf-wise' leaf growth strategy with depth restriction. This leaf node expansion method can reduce the training error and get better accuracy [38]. Simultaneously, the performance of LightGBM has been significantly improved by technology optimizations such as support for parallel learning, support of the histogram algorithm, and so on.…”
Section: Use Lightgbm To Establish a Retrieval Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, the LightGBM algorithm selects 'Leaf-wise' leaf growth strategy with depth restriction. This leaf node expansion method can reduce the training error and get better accuracy [38]. Simultaneously, the performance of LightGBM has been significantly improved by technology optimizations such as support for parallel learning, support of the histogram algorithm, and so on.…”
Section: Use Lightgbm To Establish a Retrieval Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Xia et al [29] proposed a new traffic prediction model based on an integrated framework of bagging and LightGBM. Wang et al [30] proposed a short-term driving time prediction model based on LightGBM. The experiment showed good advantages in prediction accuracy and training speed compared with a KNN model and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Concurrently, predicting the arrival time remains a predominant challenge for other means of PT [8], i.e bus itineraries, or demand-responsive transport (DRT), whether taxi routes [16] [17] or private trips [18], with applications even in the field of logistics supply chains [19]. Considering DRT, the authors of [16] collected GPS taxi data from New York and developed prediction models based on both regression and classification.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, the studies based on freeway private trips are equally important. Indeed, the focus of [18] is ETA prediction in the Shanghai-Hangzhou-Ningbo freeway, comparing LightGBM to GB Decision Trees and K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm. Using MAE and MAPE as evaluation metrics, LightGBM was superior to the other prediction models.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%