Future Work/Technology 2050 Real-Time Delphi Study: Excerpt from the 2015-16 State of the Future Report

Glenn, Jerome C.; Florescu, Elizabeth; Team, Millennium Project

doi:10.4172/2167-0358.1000171

Cited by 6 publications

(7 citation statements)

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“…The positive, business-as-usual, and negative aspects of the self-actualisation economy are discussed in the Millennium Project's Future of Work/Technology 2050 scenarios [19]. Our futures clinique results seem to emphasise the positive opportunities found in the MP's If Humans Were Free -the Self Actualization Economy scenario.…”

Section: Discussion -The Role Of Politics and Policy-making Aspectsmentioning

confidence: 82%

“…Overall, as work will be distributed differently in the future, flexibility of the labour market has to be controlled in an employee-friendly way [24]. The societal implications of the seven presented themes, as depicted in chapter 3, are in part discussed here by reflecting the Millennium Project's Future of Work/Technology 2050 scenarios [19].…”

Section: Discussion -The Role Of Politics and Policy-making Aspectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, if it fails to do so, this suggests that private and third sector may have to fill in. New initiatives and strategies by labour unions are found necessary in both the MP and NeoCarbon scenarios -if they wish to retain their relevance for the workers [19,22]. (Networked work, see ch.…”

Section: Discussion -The Role Of Politics and Policy-making Aspectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Interestingly, scenarios on work and technology for 2050 by the Millennium Project (from here onwards referred to as MP) arrive at quite similar conclusions [19]. The set of MP scenarios is used in this article as a topical framework to discuss the results of the analysis in an international context.…”

Section: Introduction -Near-zero Marginal Costs and Neo-carbon Scenarmentioning

confidence: 88%

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Peer-to-peer work in the digital meaning society 2050

et al. 2016

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The article discusses possible futures of selforganising peer-to-peer work through four transformative scenarios constructed in the Neo-Carbon Energy research project. These futures images probe the futures of work from the perspective of peer-to-peer organisations and distributed renewable energy production. The scenarios lay a systemic view on the development of societies, studying how decentralised renewable energy with low costs could affect society and its social relations. We anticipate the emergence of a digital meaning society, in which the economy is based on the production of meanings and meaningfulness. The article analyses the results of a futures workshop on the futures of work by classifying them to seven core themes. The results of the analysis are compared to related implications for policy-making, and to the Millennium Project Work/Technology Scenarios 2050 for international perspectives. The article presents possible disruptions and key emerging issues, including the novel drivers for inequalities of peer-to-peer work.

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Section: Discussion -The Role Of Politics and Policy-making Aspectsmentioning

confidence: 82%

Section: Discussion -The Role Of Politics and Policy-making Aspectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussion -The Role Of Politics and Policy-making Aspectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introduction -Near-zero Marginal Costs and Neo-carbon Scenarmentioning

confidence: 88%

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Peer-to-peer work in the digital meaning society 2050

et al. 2016

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“…ENHAT also collected information about the use of automation technologies using the following question: "Does the firm currently use any of the following technologies for producing goods or services?". The list of technologies comprises the six technologies most commonly mentioned in the recent literature about trends of automation jobs and new technology (Störmer, et al, 2014;Glenn & Florescu, 2016;World Economic Forum, 2016;Hogarth, 2017): artificial intelligence, advanced robotics, autonomous transport, advanced manufacturing, 3D-printing, and advanced network services. 7 We find that the use of these new technologies among firms in Peru in 2017-2018 is still incipient, except for ANS (Table 1).…”

Section: Data Descriptionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Are We Nearly There Yet?: New Technology Adoption and Labor Demand in Peru

Novella¹,

Almeida²,

Alvarado³

2019

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Forecasts about the effect of new technologies on labor demand are generally pessimistic. However, little is known about the current level of adoption and the effect on labor demand, particularly in developing countries. This paper exploits a recent employer survey in Peru to offer empirical evidence in these regards. Our results show that although the adoption of new technologies by firms is still incipient, it increases the labor demand of higher-skilled workers and does not affect the demand of the low-skilled. However, we find a negative effect on the demand for workers in routine manual tasks occupations. The adoption of new technologies will possibly increase in Peru. Meanwhile, it is important to keep investing in workers' skills, so they become less automatable and more productive.

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