Girdi-Çıktı Analizi Yaklaşımıyla Türkiye Ekonomisinde Sektörlerarası Bağınlaşmanın Uzun Dönemli Analizi

Abstract

In this study; Turkey's economic transformation between 1970 and 2012 was examined by means of an input-output model. The economy was divided into 10 sectors in the analysis to maintain consistency over all historical input-output tables. As a result of the analysis, the sector with the highest forward and backward linkage effects has been identified as intermediate goods producing industries. The analysis shows that Turkey's economy has transformed to an industry-based economy from agriculture-based economy. However, it is clear that economic transformation should continue for a more developed economy. In particular, products with high added value need to be focused in production.

Structural transformation and sources of growth in Turkey

“…Finally, we identified key sectors in the economy by calculating forward and backward linkage indices for these sub-periods. According to our findings, the industries producing intermediate goods have been the key sector of the Turkish economy in all sub-periods, indicating a high priority for investment (Altan et al 2015;Ersungur et al 2011;Pehlivanoğlu and İnce 2020). Given the high energy import dependency of the manufacturing sector, investments in intermediate goods can also reduce the import component of exports, decrease current account pressures, and increase the import-substitution component of output growth.…”