An increased high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) viral load in cervical scrapings has been proposed as a determinant for highgrade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and cervical cancer ( CIN 2), but data so far for HPV types different from HPV 16 are limited and inconsistent. In addition, a viral load threshold to distinguish hrHPV positive women without CIN 2 still has not been defined. Here, we used baseline cervical scrapings of women with normal cytology participating in a large population-based cervical screening trial (i.e. POBASCAM) who were GP51/61-PCR positive for 4 common hrHPV types, i.e. HPV 16, 18, 31 or 33, as a reference to arbitrarily define various viral load thresholds (i.e. 25th, 33rd, 50th, 67th and 75th percentiles of the lowest viral load values) for distinguishing women having single infections with these types without high-grade CIN. Viral load assessment was performed by real time type-specific PCR. The viral load threshold values were subsequently validated on abnormal cervical scrapes of 162 women with underlying, histologically confirmed CIN lesions containing 1 of these 4 hrHPV types. All 59 women with CIN 3 had viral load levels that were higher than those of 33% of the women with normal cytology containing the respective hrHPV type detectable by GP51/61-PCR (i.e. higher than the 33rd percentile of viral load). By using this 33rd percentile viral load cut-off, sensitivity for CIN 3 of 100% (95% CI 93.9-100) was obtained. Hence, application of this viral load threshold would increase the specificity of HPV testing for HPV 16, 18, 31 and 33-associated prevalent CIN 3 without the cost of a marked reduction in sensitivity. In practice, on the basis of viral load analysis, a less aggressive management can be foreseen for 33% of the women with normal cytology participating in a population-based screening program who are GP51/61-PCR positive for HPV 16, 18, 31 or 33. ' 2006 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
Key words: HPV; viral load; CIN; real time PCRThe relationship between high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection and cervical cancer has become evident from epidemiological and functional studies. 1-3 hrHPV DNA has been detected in almost all cervical squamous cell carcinomas and adenocarcinomas. This finding has led to the widely accepted concept that hrHPV infection is a necessary cause of cervical cancer. [1][2][3] The close association between hrHPV and cervical cancer has resulted in the use of hrHPV testing on cervical scrapes for the detection of cervical cancer and its precursor stages. Several studies have shown that addition of hrHPV testing to cervical cytology improves the sensitivity and negative predictive value for highgrade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and cervical cancer ( CIN 2) compared with cytology alone. 4,5 However, the positive predictive value of the hrHPV test is relatively low because many hrHPV positive women will clear the virus. Especially, hrHPV positive women with cytomorphologically normal smears fall in this category. As a consequence, seve...