11The relative contributions of genetics and environment to temporal and geographic variation in 12 human height remain largely unknown. Ancient DNA has identified changes in genetic ancestry 13 over time, but it is not clear whether those changes in ancestry are associated with changes in 14 height. Here, we directly test whether changes over the past 38,000 years in European height 15 predicted using DNA from 1071 ancient individuals are consistent with changes observed in 16 1159 skeletal remains from comparable populations. We show that the observed decrease in 17 height between the Early Upper Paleolithic and the Mesolithic is qualitatively predicted by 18 genetics. Similarly, both skeletal and genetic height remained constant between the Mesolithic 19and Neolithic and increased between the Neolithic and Bronze Age. Sitting height changes 20 much less than standing height-consistent with genetic predictions-although genetics predicts 21 a small Bronze Age increase that is not observed in skeletal remains. Geographic variation in 22 stature is also qualitatively consistent with genetic predictions, particularly with respect to 23 latitude. Finally, we hypothesize that an observed decrease in genetic heel bone mineral 24 density in the Neolithic reflects adaptation to the decreased mobility indicated by decreased 25 femoral bending strength. This study provides a model for interpreting phenotypic changes 26 predicted from ancient DNA and demonstrates how they can be combined with phenotypic 27 measurements to understand the relative contribution of genetic and developmentally plastic 28 responses to environmental change. 29 30 Significance 31 Measurements of prehistoric human skeletal remains provide a record of changes in height and 32 other anthropometric traits, over time. Often, these changes are interpreted in terms of plastic 33 developmental response to shifts in diet, climate or other environmental factors. These 34changes can also be genetic in origin but, until recently, it has been impossible to separate the 35 effects of genetics and environment. Here we use ancient DNA to directly estimate genetic 36 changes in phenotypes and to identify changes driven not by genetics, but by environment. We 37show that changes over the past 35,000 years are largely predicted by genetics, but also 38 identify specific shifts that are more likely to be environmentally driven. 39 40 7 ) difference between EUP and LUP-Neolithic and a 0.27 SD (1.8cm; P=3.6x10 -5 ) difference 127 between LUP-Neolithic and post-Neolithic. Broad patterns of change in stature over time are 128 therefore consistent with genetic predictions. 129 130Additionally, we fit a piecewise linear model allowing PRS to decrease from the EUP to the 131 Neolithic and then increase and change slope in the post-Neolithic (Fig. 1d-f). In this model, 132 PRS(GWAS) decreases by about 1.8´10 -5 SD/year (P=0.014) from EUP to Neolithic, and increases 133 by 2.0´10 -4 SD/year (P=0.001) post-Neolithic (Fig. 1d). PRS(GWAS/sib) decreases by about 134 1.6´10 -5 SD...