2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-24082-z
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Identifying individuals with high risk of Alzheimer’s disease using polygenic risk scores

Abstract: Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) for AD offer unique possibilities for reliable identification of individuals at high and low risk of AD. However, there is little agreement in the field as to what approach should be used for genetic risk score calculations, how to model the effect of APOE, what the optimal p-value threshold (pT) for SNP selection is and how to compare scores between studies and methods. We show that the best prediction accuracy is achieved with a model with two predictors (APOE and PRS excluding AP… Show more

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Cited by 132 publications
(140 citation statements)
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References 60 publications
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“… 13 The best prediction was observed in a model combining directly measured APOE with the PRS excluding the APOE region at a threshold of P ≤ 0.10, whereas the prediction accuracy was attenuated at more relaxed thresholds despite increases in variants. 13 Altogether, recent findings suggest that Alzheimer’s disease is polygenic and the age-related nature of the risk is essential to consider. 13 …”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 94%
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“… 13 The best prediction was observed in a model combining directly measured APOE with the PRS excluding the APOE region at a threshold of P ≤ 0.10, whereas the prediction accuracy was attenuated at more relaxed thresholds despite increases in variants. 13 Altogether, recent findings suggest that Alzheimer’s disease is polygenic and the age-related nature of the risk is essential to consider. 13 …”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 94%
“… 12 However, the age distribution among Alzheimer’s disease cases versus controls, and thus differences in the prevalence of APOE ɛ2 versus ɛ4 allele frequencies can impact PRS prediction. 13 In addition to Alzheimer’s disease risk, APOE is associated with longevity where the allele frequencies for ɛ2 become more prevalent in older samples and ɛ4 alleles become less prevalent, at least in samples of European and Asian ancestries. 14–17 Moreover, the methods used to construct PRSs for Alzheimer’s disease can impact the composition of genetic variants included and hence prediction.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The ApoE region (Chr19:45,116,911–46,318,605) was excluded from the analysis due to its reported large effect size. PRS values with p-threshold (pT) of 0.1 were used for further statistical analysis since this pT explains the highest variance and provides the best prediction accuracy according to a study conducted by Leonenko et al (2021) . We performed the analysis using PRS that excluded ApoE region as the main explanatory variable.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Using PRSice-2 (28), we computed PRS in the NSHD, both including and excluding SNPs in the APOE region (chr 19, GRCh37 coordinates 44912079 to 45912079) (29). Two p-value thresholds (P T ) – previously identified to be optimal for PRS including and excluding the APOE region – were used for SNP selection: 5×10 −8 (suggested for APOE region included) and 0.1 (suggested for APOE region excluded) (30), resulting in four PRS. SNPs in linkage disequilibrium (r 2 >0.001 within a 250kb window) were clumped and the SNP with the lowest p-value was retained.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%