Objective. Texas is regarded as a safe Republican state, yet in recent elections Democrats have gained electoral ground. This study investigates if generational replacement and demographic changes are leading to an increase in Democratic identification, with the potential to create an environment for increasingly competitive elections. A competitive Texas will have national political implications. Method. Party identification and ideology are analyzed, with line graphs and linear regression, using public opinion surveys of Texans from 2009 to 2019. The impact of generation cohorts and demographics are the main independent variables of interest. Results. The findings demonstrate that younger cohorts of white Texans are less likely to identify as Republican and older cohorts of white Texans are most likely. All cohorts of Texans of color are likely to identify as Democrats. Conclusions. Generational and demographic changes are leading to an increase in Democratic party identification and a decline in Republican identification. The mobilization by parties of young Texans, who are trending toward Democrats, and people of color is critical to the future of Texas politics.Overlooked in the fallout of the 2020 presidential election was a result from Texas-Joe Biden lost the state by 5.6 points. While it was a loss, it was an improvement over Hillary Clinton's 9-point 2016 loss and Barack Obama's 16-point loss in 2012. During the 2018 midterm elections, in a campaign that drew national attention, Beto O'Rourke, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Texas, came much closer to unseating incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz than seemed possible in a solidly Republican state (lost by 2.5 percent). In addition, in 2020 Texas Democrats maintained congressional and state legislative gains from 2018; however, Democratic goals of winning control of the state house and gaining congressional seats went unfulfilled. The last time Texas Democrats won a statewide election was in 1994 and the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state was Jimmy Carter in 1976. Texas has the second most Electoral College votes (40 in 2024 as as result of the 2020 Census). If it becomes competitive, Texas will have a major impact on national politics.Is Texas (TX) becoming more competitive? One explanation for the improving results for Democrats is that macro Democratic party identification is increasing as a result of changing demographics in the state. The percentage of the population composed of people of color (POC), especially among Latinos, constitutes a majority and is growing. 1 There is an expectation that this will lead to political party change because Latinos and