Influence of external factors on foreign direct investment flows using the example of the Visegrad Group and Serbia

Kemiveš, Aleksandar; Barjaktarović, Lidija

doi:10.5937/ekopre2102080k

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…The business of a modern company and the life of an individual are inextricably linked to banks and banking [1] [2], but modern banking suggests that the use of traditional banking is on constant a downward trend, with a dominant increase in risk. All this together imposes the need to better manage processes and phenomena in banks, which is inconceivable without an analysis of the performance of commercial banking [3] [4]. However, despite innovation in the area of financial services, credit risk is still the most significant individual cause of bank bankruptcy [5] [6].…”

Section: Indroductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

What can be expected in credit-risk management from NPL in the western Balkans region in the future?

Barjaktarović¹,

Vesić²,

Laki³

2022

International Review

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This paper presents an analysis of the impact of the rate of selected parameters on the banking system performance, specifically to non-performing loans (NPLs) movements. The goal is to investigate which the most influential factors affecting the movement of NPLs in the WB countries are, given that research have pointed out the impact of macroeconomic factors on the formation of NPL rates in banking systems. The authors have added several parameters to their methodology, dividing the indicators into internal and external. On the topic of indicators that affect the performance of the banking system, but also predictions of future trends of NPLs, several hypotheses can be set, but this research will start from the hypothesis that the NPL trend can be predicted by creating predictive models which, as the basis, have a combination of macroeconomic and banking system performance indicators. In addition to scientific literature, publications of international development and those by financial institutions were used as well, and the authors also accessed the international database - CEIC data. The time aspect of the research will cover the period 2010-2019, and the prediction of NPL trends will be performed for the period 2020-2025. To determine the final model and the indicator that will most accurately describe the target variable, the Merton's model in the statistical tool R will be developed and prediction tests will be fey performed. The most important statistical methods: linear regression, R2, ADJ R2, correlation matrix. The results show that in 3 out of 5 observed indicators, the one that most influences the trend of problem loans is the unemployment rate. Based on the modelling, the outputs indicate small deviations between the NPL obtained by the model and the publicly announced NPL-trends are very well presented, and the forecast results indicate a sharpening of the NPL trend curve in the period up to 2025. The contribution of this paper is reflected in the time prediction of NPL trends which can be useful to state authorities for adequate measure implementation.

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Section: Indroductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

What can be expected in credit-risk management from NPL in the western Balkans region in the future?

Barjaktarović¹,

Vesić²,

Laki³

2022

International Review

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“…Slovakia has been getting closer to Poland in recent years. Analysis of FDI inflow (which highly contributes to the country's GDP growth) in Visegrad group countries during 1980-2018 leads to the conclusion that 44% of FDI was directed to Poland, 23% to the Czech Republic, 21% to Hungary, and 11% to Slovakia (Kemiveš & Barjaktarović, 2021).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Unemployment Rate and GDP Growth Rate in Selected European Countries

Živković¹

2022

Balkans JETSS

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GDP growth rate and unemployment rate are two crucial macroeconomic variables - their correlation is an important indicator for policymakers and it has been frequently analyzed. This research aims to analyze the GDP growth rate and unemployment rate in EU founders, Visegrad group, and Western Balkan countries and to determine if the negative correlation between these variables exists, to point to differences between developed and developing countries, and to indicate real convergence of developing countries towards developed ones. Data is analyzed on a quarterly level from Q1 2010 to Q4 2021 and the methodology of this paper consists of empirical data analysis, descriptive statistics, and panel analysis for each country group. Obtained results point to a negative correlation in all 3 country groups, but it is statistically significant only in EU founders countries, and the convergence of the Visegrad group and Western Balkan countries towards developed ones can be acknowledged.

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“…The Czech Republic is characterized as the country with the most stable labor market and lowest unemployment rate (Hadas-Dyduch et al, 2016). Kowalska et al (2018) (Kemiveš & Barjaktarović, 2021).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Untitled

2022

Balkans JETSS

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Aims and ScopeThe mission of Balkans JETSS is to publish peer-review empirical research papers that test, extend or build theory and contribute to practice. All empirical methods -including, but not limited to, qualitative, quantitative, field, laboratory, and combination methods are welcome. Empirical, theoretical and methodological articles from all major fields of economics, management, tourism, law and the like are featured in the journal. Theoretical and/or review articles that integrate existing bodies of research and that provide new insights into the field are also encouraged.To be published in the Balkans JETSS, a manuscript must take strong empirical and/or theoretical contributions to the subject field. Consequently, preference is given to submissions that test, extend or build strong theoretical frameworks while empirically examining issues with high importance for theory and practice.The journal is not tied to any particular discipline, level of analysis, or national context. Although, it focuses on Balkans region, all papers from related fields on any region or country are highly encouraged. Single country studies, multi-country or regional studies can be submitted.Manuscripts should not exceed 16 pages (450 word per page). This page limit includes all figures, tables, appendices and references. Copyright information For AuthorsAs soon as an article is accepted for publication, authors will be requested to assign copyright of the article (or to grant exclusive publication and dissemination rights) to the publisher. This will ensure the widest possible protection and dissemination of information under copyright laws. For ReadersWhile the advice and information in this journal is believed to be true and accurate at the date of its publication, neither the authors, the editors, nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein.All articles published in this journal are protected by copyright, which covers the exclusive right to reproduce and distribute the article, as well as all translation rights. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, etc., in this publication even if not specifically identified, does not imply that these names are not protected by the relevant laws and regulations.

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Influence of external factors on foreign direct investment flows using the example of the Visegrad Group and Serbia

Cited by 4 publications

References 12 publications

What can be expected in credit-risk management from NPL in the western Balkans region in the future?

What can be expected in credit-risk management from NPL in the western Balkans region in the future?

Unemployment Rate and GDP Growth Rate in Selected European Countries

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