Analyses of the relationships of earmarked finances on their respective programs and total expenditures have produced conflicting views of how governments spend earmarked revenue. Some show that earmarks are used in addition to existing finances to increase the total level of funding for recipient programs while others show that earmarks are fungible and program spending is unchanged. An analysis on local option sales taxes earmarked for transportation (LOST-Ts) suggests that transportation spending is increased by more than LOST-T revenue. For every dollar generated by LOST-Ts, transportation spending increases by an estimated $1.76 and nontransportation spending decreases by an estimated $0.73. Transportation Excellence 2014). 1 Beyond the ramifications local option taxes may have on transportation, there is a broader question of how earmarked revenues affect the amount of program spending and whether its revenue is used to expand the size of government or just to increase the recipient program's budget.A wealth of literature describes the effects of earmarked intergovernmental or state revenues on state government spending. Less research has focused on the effects of earmarked local government own-source revenues. The analysis presented here examines California local option sales taxes earmarked for transportation, LOST-Ts. It tests whether the rational, Leviathan, or flypaper effect framework of spending best characterizes the use of this earmarked, own-source revenue. The answer to this question is critical because it sheds light on how effective these measures are for funding the recipient program.The findings support the flypaper effect; money sticks to the recipient program. On average, for every dollar of revenue generated by LOST-Ts, transportation spending increases by $1.76, and total expenditures minus transportation are estimated to decrease by $0.73. This suggests that LOST-T revenue is not treated as fungible by county governments and that transportation expenditures do not increase merely by the amount of LOST-T revenue generated, but by additional monies that would have otherwise been spent on other government functions.This paper begins with a discussion of LOST-Ts in California. Next is an overview of the literature on earmarks followed by a description of the three frameworks used in this analysis. Applicable theory and the estimation strategy and data are then addressed. The paper concludes with a discussion of the findings and implications and potential directions for future research.
CALIFORNIA'S LOST-TSState and local governments are taking on more responsibilities due to the nationwide trend of devolved fiscal responsibility. In particular, local governments are becoming the owners of a growing inventory of roads and streets at a time when road maintenance costs are increasing dramatically and intergovernmental support is dwindling (Goldman and Wachs 2003).
APPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICEThe revenue generated by local option sales taxes earmarked for transportation (LOST-Ts) is used as additio...