SUMMARY 1. The changes in the vertical distributions of red coloured Planktothrix rubescens and green P. agardhii filaments in Blelham Tarn, English Lake District, were related to vertical profiles of temperature and light attenuation and to continuous records of the surface irradiance and windspeed, from August 1999 to October 2000.
2. The potential growth rate of each organism was calculated from the irradiance and temperature at 0.5 m depths and hourly intervals throughout the year, using algorithms determined from growth rates in culture. The analyses indicated that there was sufficient irradiance for growth, integrated over the 24‐h cycle, at depths down to the metalimnion where the Planktothrix populations stratified in summer. The compensation depth for growth by P. rubescens reached a maximum of 9.3 m in spring and midsummer, and fell to a minimum of 1.6 m in midwinter; the corresponding values for P. agardhii were 7.9 and 0.5 m.
3. The mixed depth (zm) exceeded the critical depth for growth (zb) by P. rubescens (the condition preventing population increase) on only 3 days of the year; for P. agardhii, however, zm exceeded zb on 31 days, contributing to its faster decline. The stratified population of P. rubescens was the major cause of light attenuation during the summer of 2000, and resulted in competitive exclusion of P. agardhii.
4. The calculated growth rates integrated over the depth of the water column in Blelham Tarn equalled, or exceeded, the measured changes of the populations during periods when they were increasing, during summer and autumn. Close agreement between the two values was found for much of the year when allowance was made for dilution of the lake population by rainfall over the watershed. During periods of rapid decline, of P. agardhii in September 1999, P. rubescens in December 1999 and both in July–August 2000, additional losses (e.g. by chytrid parasitism and grazing) are invoked.