Mathematical Modeling and Quantitative Analysis of the Demographic and Ecological Aspects of Russian Supermortality

Cherkashin, A. K.; Leshchenko, Ya. A.

doi:10.1051/mmnp/20105611

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…En el segundo periodo Policy Making, Decision-Making, Computer-Simulation; identifican variables de evaluación social que determinan la formulación de políticas y la gobernanza de los recursos naturales (He et al, 2010;Sessa and Ricci, 2010;Fulton et al, 2011;Travers et al, 2011), para generar modelos de las actividades humanas sobre el manejo de los ecosistemas (Matthews et al, 2005;Syme et al, 2009;Cherkashin and Leshchenko, 2010).…”

Section: -2000 2001-2010 2011-2019unclassified

Sistemas socio-ecológicos: análisis bibliométrico del estado actual, desarrollo y escenarios futuros

Velasco

Ramírez-González

Ramos-Barón

et al. 2021

Biotecnol. sector agropecuario agroind.

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En este documento presenta un análisis bibliométrico/mapeo científico para analizar las tendencias en la investigación de los sistemas socio-ecológicos - SSE, basado en 1751 publicaciones citadas en la base de datos de Scopus entre 1971 y 2019. Para al análisis de los registros se utilizó el software SciMAT, que analiza relaciones evolución conceptual, diagramas estratégicos y clúster relacionados con la productividad de los autores, número de referencias, organizaciones, países y principales publicaciones. Los resultados muestran el incremento en estudios relacionados con los SSE, con el especial interés en el pervivir y la gobernanza de los recursos naturales. También se evidencia que los países que mayor cantidad de producción son EE. UU., Reino Unido, Australia y Alemania.

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Section: -2000 2001-2010 2011-2019unclassified

Sistemas socio-ecológicos: análisis bibliométrico del estado actual, desarrollo y escenarios futuros

Velasco

Ramírez-González

Ramos-Barón

et al. 2021

Biotecnol. sector agropecuario agroind.

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Mortality Trends in the Population of the Irkutsk Region in the Process of Social and Environmental Transformations (1989-2017)

Leshchenko

Lisovtsov

2019

HAS

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Introduction. The policy in the field of public health care should take into account the peculiarities of regional development, due to the influence of socio-environmental factors and processes. Mortality indices are the most important medico-demographic index of the state of the regional socio-ecological system. The aim of the study is to characterize the mortality trends of various age groups of the population of the Irkutsk region in the context of social and environmental transformations of the post-Soviet period. Material and methods. A retrospective longitudinal study of the mortality characteristics of the population of the Irkutsk region, the Siberian Federal District (SFD) and the Russian Federation (RF) in the dynamics from the late 1980s to 2017 was carried out. Statistical materials were obtained from the databases of the Federal State Statistics Service, the Center for Demographic Studies of the New Economic School and Demographic Yearbooks of Russia. The analysis of trends in mortality rates and their socio-ecological interpretation is carried out. Results. Dynamics of the total mortality rate in the period 1989-2017 consisted of two stages (1991-1998 and 1999-2017). Each of these stages was characterized by a marked increase in the mortality rate and its subsequent decrease. The values of this index in the Irkutsk region during the entire observation period were higher than the values of the same indicator for the SFD by 6.5-10.0% and higher than the figure for the Russian Federation by 12.9-21.5%. The dynamic changes in the mortality rates of the working-age population are similar to the corresponding characteristics of total mortality. The trends in child and infant mortality rates were characterized by a consistent decrease. The dynamics of the mortality rate of the adolescent-youth contingent (15-19 years) was similar to the dynamics of the total mortality rate. Conclusion. The phenomena of a systemic transformational crisis led to the adverse dynamics of mortality characteristics from 1992 to 2006. A major positive shift in improving mortality rates occurred in 2007-2017. It was due to positive changes in the socio-economic sphere. Only the mortality levels of the working-age population did the lag behind the figures for 1989-1990 continue. The Irkutsk region should be characterized as a region of relative socio-ecological disadvantage in the mortality rates of all age groups of the population.

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Epidemiological characteristics of socially significant infectious diseases as an indicator of the quality of life of the population

Leshchenko

Lisovtsov

Bazyaeva

2022

Acta biomedica scientifica

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Background. Incidence and prevalence of socially significant infectious diseases are the most important indicators of the quality of life and sanitary and epidemiological well-being of the population.The aim is to identify structural, quantitative and dynamic features of incidence and prevalence of socially significant infectious diseases among the population in the post-Soviet period (on the example of the Irkutsk region).Methods. The materials of the forms of federal statistical observation № 2, № 12, databases posted on the websites of the Federal State Statistics Service, the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical System, the Center for Demographic Research of the Russian School of Economics were used in the study. An epidemiological analysis of morbidity indicators and a comparative assessment with the average Russian data have been carried out. Trend analysis was performed by linear regression analysis using the SPSS software (IBM Corp., USA).Results. The highest levels of tuberculosis prevalence in the Irkutsk region were noted in the period from 1999 to 2013 (352.1–436.9 0/0000). The incidence rate of syphilis increased by 1997 to the maximum value – 431.4 0/0000; in subsequent years, the incidence rate decreased, amounting to 28.8 0/0000 in 2019. Very high incidence rates of gonorrhea, trichomoniasis, chlamydia were noted in the region until the end of the 2000s. The dynamics of the prevalence of HIV infection since 1999 was characterized by a rapid increase in the indicator (in 2018 – 1995.0 0/0000), which made the region one of the most unfavorable in the country for this type of pathology. Thus, in the Irkutsk region since the second half of the 1990s until the late 2000s – early 2010s there was a pronounced increase in the incidence of socially significant infectious diseases to very high values, significantly exceeding the national average. In the subsequent period (2012–2019), there was a consistent decrease in the incidence rate.Conclusion. The quality of life of the population of Siberia in the post-Soviet period suffered to the greatest extent. This led to a rapid increase in the levels of morbidity with socially significant infectious diseases. A transition to the state model of the advanced development of human potential is required to reduce morbidity to an acceptable level.

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Mathematical Modeling and Quantitative Analysis of the Demographic and Ecological Aspects of Russian Supermortality

Cited by 4 publications

References 10 publications

Sistemas socio-ecológicos: análisis bibliométrico del estado actual, desarrollo y escenarios futuros

Sistemas socio-ecológicos: análisis bibliométrico del estado actual, desarrollo y escenarios futuros

Mortality Trends in the Population of the Irkutsk Region in the Process of Social and Environmental Transformations (1989-2017)

Epidemiological characteristics of socially significant infectious diseases as an indicator of the quality of life of the population

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