Modeling as a Tool of Socio-Economic Management in the Conditions of Instability

Abstract

Our country and the whole world can cope with the challenges of our time only by embarking on an innovative path of development. It is possible to increase the efficiency and quality of management activities in the state, at enterprises and organizations, to ensure the technological independence of our country only if we use adequate mathematical methods and build reliable forecasts on their basis. This article is devoted to the analysis of methods for modeling and forecasting complex socio-economic systems in times of crisis and instability. The paper presents a classification of existing approaches to the construction of models and forecasts of economic processes, their scope. Methods that have a theoretical basis for a more correct description of socio-economic instability and methods that can be applied only partially are highlighted. It is noted that a combination of various mathematical methods in conjunction with software will provide the most accurate modeling results for making rational management decisions.