“…The deterministic population balance models and moment equations used by various researchers3,20 to estimate nucleation kinetics do not capture this stochastic behavior, which has been characterized in a series of high-throughput constant-supersaturation experiments 25,26,27,28,29. Nucleation kinetics have been fit to average induction times, to the proportion of drops not containing crystals as a function of time, and to the average number of crystals per drop at long times 25,27,28,30,31. The Poisson distribution provided a good fit to distributions in the number of lysozyme and lactose crystals nucleated at constant supersaturation in droplets using temperature jump techniques 25,28.…”