Oil spill modelling methods: application to the south–eastern part of the Baltic Sea

Kileso, Alexander; Chubarenko, Boris; Zemlys, Petras; Kuzmenko, Igor

doi:10.5200/baltica.2014.27.11

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…The DREAM has both a physical fate module and a biological effect module, and an oil database based on laboratory experiments (Kileso et al 2014). Table 1 shows DREAM's simulation capacity in different release conditions and includes physical fate, biological exposure, and effects.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling of Environmental Fate and Effects of Oil Leakages from Abandoned Subsea Wells Using an Environmental Impact Factor Tool

Pham

Lohne

Arild

et al. 2021

Integr Envir Assess & Manag

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Potential environmental consequences of oil leakages (i.e., continuous uncontrolled releases at low flow rate over a long period of time) need to be taken into consideration in the ongoing development of plug and abandonment (P&A) activities on the Norwegian continental shelf. Regulations of P&A wells employ a "zero leakage" target; however, environmental risk monitoring strategies for permanent abandonment are not yet in place. Predicting and estimating the consequences of adverse environmental impacts through a modeling approach can play a key role in evaluating and monitoring environmental risk. In this paper, we present a modeling study of the fate and effects of an oil leakage from abandoned wells using a theoretical scenario on the Norwegian continental shelf. Environmental impact factors (EIFs) derived from the Dose related Risk and Effect Assessment Model (DREAM), previously designed to characterize the effects of produced water discharges, were used to assess impacts of leakages from abandoned wells. Exposure assessments for the EIFs were modified to include specific hydrocarbon contributions derived from different sized oil droplets from the leakages. Because DREAM is not generally used for chronic low-rate oil releases, an update of the database with chronic predicted no-effect concentrations, as input data for effects modeling, was conducted. In general, EIFs became stable after simulations of 30 d. The area from the release site and up to a few hundred meters southward had the most locations of high impact. Chronic exposure and effects on organisms potentially occurred as a steady-state effect over a long period. Risks, at which more than 95% of species will be negatively affected, appeared surrounding the release site, indicating a need for mitigation measures. These results show that the EIF tool can be used for risk management and P&A regulation by identifying potentially harmful leakages. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2021;00:1-13.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling of Environmental Fate and Effects of Oil Leakages from Abandoned Subsea Wells Using an Environmental Impact Factor Tool

Pham

Lohne

Arild

et al. 2021

Integr Envir Assess & Manag

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“…to develop preconditions for more accurate and reliable identification of oil spills and prediction of their drift trajectories in the open sea (Bulycheva et al 2014); to develop solutions for the improvement of accuracy of existing oil drift modelling methods and exploring the potential of their possible application in shallow waters (Kileso et al 2014); to prepare an integrated methodology for the analysis of near shore and beach sensitivity to potential oil spills (Blažauskas, Dorokhov 2014). One of the tasks was strengthening of the scientific potential and technical capabilities of Russian partners.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Solutions for effective oil spill management in the south–eastern part of the Baltic Sea

Suzdalev¹,

Gulbinskas²,

Sivkov³

et al. 2014

Baltica

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The Baltic Sea is facing exceptionally intensive marine traffic. Oil products in addition to other cargo types are being transported in this marine area. Therefore, the risk of potential oil pollution is very high. Although, the Baltic Sea has not experienced catastrophic oil spills, there have been spills causing serious environmental damage in the region. Construction of oil terminals and planned growth of Russian oil export through Baltic Sea ports along with the operation of large oil enterprises and oil drilling platforms make maritime safety a priority task for the Baltic Sea region. The publications collected in present Baltica Journal Special Issue set sights on the improvement of oil spill management in the South–Eastern Baltic Sea as well as stimulate the appearance of new transnational response agreements in the region.

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Humpback whales in Brazil : distribution, abundance and human impacts

Bortolotto¹

2019

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Oil spill modelling methods: application to the south–eastern part of the Baltic Sea

Cited by 4 publications

References 21 publications

Modeling of Environmental Fate and Effects of Oil Leakages from Abandoned Subsea Wells Using an Environmental Impact Factor Tool

Modeling of Environmental Fate and Effects of Oil Leakages from Abandoned Subsea Wells Using an Environmental Impact Factor Tool

Solutions for effective oil spill management in the south–eastern part of the Baltic Sea

Humpback whales in Brazil : distribution, abundance and human impacts

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