is a senior research officer at the ESRI. Frances McGinnity is an associate research professor at the ESRI, adjunct professor at Trinity College Dublin and visiting senior fellow at the Centre for the Analysis of Social Exclusion at the London School of Economics. Kayla Rush was an information officer in EMN Ireland at the ESRI.Predicting trends in applications into the future is difficult, and trends are largely dependent on the actions and responses of various actors, including governments in countries of origin and first asylum, international actors, other countries in the region and the Irish government. Some drivers are likely to be temporary (e.g., the COVID effect, the initial displacement from Ukraine and the impact of labourmarket shortages if proposed employment-permit reforms are adopted). Others may be longer-term (e.g., network effects, changing smuggler routes and potential deflection effects from the UK). The acknowledgement that factors driving international protection applications are largely outside the control of national governments means that flexible reception systems are key.Further research needs to be conducted to better understand the reasons behind the recent increase in applications in Ireland, including interviews with asylum applicants. There is a lack of research specific to the Irish context on this subject, meaning that the literature review had to draw conclusions from other contexts. Further research should examine the experiences of asylum applicants travelling to Ireland and applying for asylum here, and should conduct a more in-depth examination of Ireland in the context of broader EU trends.1 Figures for July, August and September 2022 are also included in this report, although the analysis remains focused on the first six months of 2022.