Pengaruh Produk Domestik Regional Bruto, Inflasi, Upah Minimum, dan Jumlah Penduduk Terhadap Pengangguran di Indonesia Periode 2011 – 2017

Abstract

A B S T R A KPenelitian ini merupakan penelitian kuantitatif dengan tujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh PDRB, inflasi, upah minimum, dan jumlah penduduk terhadap pengangguran. Data yang digunakan berupa data panel 33 Provinsi selama 7 (tujuh) tahun terhitung dari 2011 -2017. Sumber data berasal dari website resmi Badan Pusat Statistik dan Bank Indonesia. Uji hipotesis dianalisis menggunakan program eviews 9.0. Hasil penelitian membuktikan bahwa (1) Produk Domestik Regional Bruto berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pengangguran, (2) Inflasi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pengangguran, (3) Upah Minimum berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pengangguran, sementara (4) Jumlah Penduduk tidak berpengaruh terhadap pengangguran. Berdasarkan hasil kajian kebijakan yang dapat diambil pemerintah untuk menekan angka pengangguran antara lain dengan melakukan penyesuaian upah minimum dan melakukan kajian lebih dalam mengenai faktor yang dapat medorong naiknya PDRB. A B S T R A C TThis research is a quantitative study with the aims to determine the effect of GDP, inflation, minimum wages, and population on unemployment. Using panel data of 33 Provinces in Indonesia in the 2011 -2017 period. The data source comes from the official website of Badan Pusat Statistik and Bank Indonesia. Hypothesis was analyzed by using eviews 9.0 program. The result show that (1) GDP has a significant negative effect on unemployment, (2) Inflation has a significant negative effect on unemployment, (3) Minimum wages have a significant negative effect on unemployment, (4) The population does not affect unemployment. Based on the result, the suggestion for policies to reduce unemployment is to adjust the minimum wage and examine the factors that can increase GDP.

Unemployment in Indonesia: An Analysis of Economic Determinants from 2012-2021

“…However, the total population has no significant effect on open unemployment in Indonesia. The negative relationship is consistent with the findings population variable with a coefficient of 0.477383 and a probability of 0.6251, so it does not affect unemployment (Brahma et al, 2019). This result is in contrast to previous studies by Gideon (2017), which found that population has a positive effect on unemployment; this is indicated by the increase in Nigeria's population in 2014.…”

The Effect of Investment and Inflation on the Open Unemployment Rate with GRDP as the Mediating Factor

“…According to this principle, for each 1% uptick in economic growth, there tends to be an associated decline of approximately 0.5% in the unemployment rate. This theoretical framework gains support from empirical research conducted by Sembiring and Sasongko [1], as well as findings by Yasmin et al [12], both of which underscore the significant negative impact of GRDP on unemployment levels in Indonesia during the period spanning from 2011 to 2017. In addition, Shiferaw [13] and Sanchez & Liborio [14] find that there is the inverse relationship dynamically between GDP and unemployment.…”

“…Despite the decrease, the open unemployment rate in Indonesia is still above five percent. According to Sembiring & Sasongko [1], a person is said to be unemployed if he has worked for at least one week and received a wage from the job. Meanwhile, if a person does not work because he does not have a job, is looking for a job, or is waiting for a job call, then he is said to be unemployed.…”

Pengaruh Inflasi Dan Upah Minimum Kota (Umk) Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Di Kota Padang Sidempuan

“…Selain itu, penelitian ini juga sejalan dengan penelitian Sembiring & Sasongko (2019) Hal tersebut sependapat dengan teori pengangguran menurut Sukirno (2012) menyatakan bahwa pengangguran ialah seseorang yang tergolong dalam angkatan kerja, sedang aktif mencari pekerjaan pada suatu tingkat upah tertentu tetapi belum mendapatkan pekerjaan yang diinginkannya. Disimpulkan bahwa pekerja menentukan tingkat upah yang diinginkannya untuk suatu pekerjaan yang diinginkannya.…”