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August 2015Abstract Does the exercise of the right of self-determination lead to inefficiency? This paper considers a set of centrally planned municipal mergers during the Meiji period, with data from Gifu prefecture. The observed merger pattern can be explained as a social optimum based on a very simple individual utility function. If individual villages had been allowed to choose their merger partners, counterfactual simulations show that the core is always non-empty, but core partitions contain about 80% more (postmerger) municipalities than the social optimum. Simulations are possible because core partitions can be calculated using repeated application of a mixed integer program.Does exercise of the right to self-determination result in an efficient arrangement of political boundaries? There is substantial theoretical interest in this issue both inside and outside of economics, and recent world events, such as the Russian annexation of the (apparently consenting) Crimean peninsula, suggest policy relevance.
1Empirical results regarding the efficiency of jurisdiction formation, however, are very limited. This paper considers a historical set of municipal mergers in Gifu, Japan, that were decided by a central planner in the late 19th century. We show that the observed pattern of * Portions of this paper were originally presented as "An Errors-in-Variables Model for Graph Outcome Data" at the Econometric Society Far East meeting. In addition, some ideas were present in the job market paper version of Weese [2015], but were removed during the publication process. We thank seminar participants at various seminars. In addition, the paper has benefitted greatly from discussion with Steve Berry, Jeremy Fox, Hide Ichimura, Yuichi Kitamura, Tsunetoshi Mizoguchi, Kei Okunuki, and Larry Samuelson. Julien Clancy provided excellent research assistance with an earlier version of the model. Portions of this research were conducted at