Two one-dimensional models are established for the tip leakage vortex trajectory and rotating stall-onset point prediction respectively for subsonic centrifugal impellers. The goal of modeling is to supply an effective estimation strategy of the stall-onset point for use in the one-dimensional performance prediction stage. The tip leakage vortex trajectory prediction is a critical part of the stall-onset prediction. The proposed one-dimensional model (one-dimensional tip leakage vortex trajectory model) to predict the tip leakage vortex trajectory is based on blade loading, i.e. the velocity difference between the pressure and suction surfaces. The loading function considers the effect of radial rotation, blade turning, and passage width variation. Compared with the computational fluid dynamics results, the current model shows reasonable accuracy, with an average relative error below 12.35%. The one-dimensional prediction model (Model II) is developed to determine the stall-onset point, where the interface between the tip leakage flow and the main flow spills from the blade leading edge. In this model, the momentum balance analysis is applied to identify the position of the interface. The parameter of the tip leakage vortex trajectory in Model II is determined by one-dimensional tip leakage vortex trajectory model. The effective origin of the tip leakage flow is correlated with the rotational speed and tip clearance. The effectiveness of Model II is validated with the experimental and computational fluid dynamics results using three impellers. Compared with the conventional model (Model I), Model II shows better accuracy, with a maximum error of about 7.42%.