PTV gap: A new measure of party identification yielding monotonic partisan attitudes and supporting comparative analysis

Paparo, Aldo; Sio, Lorenzo De; Brady, David

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2019.102092

Cited by 9 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…In PTV questions, respondents are asked to indicate how likely they would be to vote for each political party in a scale of 0-10 (0 represents 'not at all probable' and 10 'very probable'). PTV is gaining increasing popularity in Political Science, being accepted as an excellent indicator of electoral preferences because of its benefits (Paparo, De Sio, & Brady 2020).…”

Section: Design and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

Can Argentines Be Programmatic Voters? Assessing the Influence of Policy Preferences in Argentine Coalitions Using the Propensities to Vote

Sendra

Barquero

2022

Rev. cienc. polít. (Santiago)

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Section: Design and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

Can Argentines Be Programmatic Voters? Assessing the Influence of Policy Preferences in Argentine Coalitions Using the Propensities to Vote

Sendra

Barquero

2022

Rev. cienc. polít. (Santiago)

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“…Our measure of partisanship focuses on its behavioural expression—specifically, which federal party respondents say they usually vote for. Vote choice has been used as a measure of partisanship in other studies of foreign policy attitudes (Berdahl and Raney, 2010: 1009), and recent studies have argued that measures focused on the propensity to vote for a party can outperform other, traditional measures of party identification (Paparo et al, 2020). Our measure of partisanship allows us to assess whether the divisions in statements by party leaders are shared among their supporters.…”

Section: Conceptual and Methodological Considerationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Eurosphere or Anglosphere? Canadian Public Opinion on Brexit and the Future of Transatlantic Relations

2021

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Close relations with Europe, especially but not only with the United Kingdom, have long been a consensual tenet of Canadian foreign policy, which has supported European integration since the 1970s. The UK's withdrawal from the European Union threatens to upset this consensus. While Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has consistently cast Brexit in a negative light, Conservative leaders Andrew Scheer and Erin O'Toole have commented positively on the UK's leaving the EU. Did their polarized views resonate in the population? To answer this question, this article analyzes the results of an original survey of voting-age Canadians. Findings show a strong degree of correspondence between positions expressed in party discourse and preferences in the Canadian population. This raises the possibility that the difference between two models of transatlantic relations, which we call Eurosphere and Anglosphere, could emerge as a new fault line in Canadian foreign policy.

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“…Our choice in this direction is reassured by two elements. First, recent research has convincingly shown that it is in fact possible to fruitfully construct a valid measure of party identification precisely from the overall configuration of PTVs across different parties, in particular – relying on normal vote theory – by looking at the highest one compared to all others (Paparo and De Sio, 2017; Paparo et al ., 2020). Secondly, we offer further validation for our measurement choice by employing our dataset to assess whether the determinants of our measure are compatible with it being an indicator of a ‘normal vote’ attitude, that is, if they recall the factors that structurally drive voters towards such behaviour as theorized by classic party identification theory.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Europe matters … upon closer investigation: a novel approach for analysing individual-level determinants of vote choice across first- and second-order elections, applied to 2019 Italy

Angelucci

Sio

Paparo

2020

Riv. ital. sci. polit.

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Are European Parliament (EP) elections still second-order? In this article, we test the classical model at the individual level in contrast to an alternative ‘Europe matters’ model, by investigating the relative importance of domestic vs. European Union (EU)-related issues among voter-level determinants of aggregate second-order effects, that is, individual party change. We do so by relying on an original, CAWI pre-electoral survey featuring a distinctively large (30) number of both domestic and EU-related, positional and valence issues, with issue attitudes measured according to the innovative ICCP scheme (De Sio and Lachat 2020) which includes issue positions, issue priorities and respondents' assessment of party credibility on both positional and valence goals. Leveraging the concept of ‘normal vote’, we estimate multivariate models of electoral defections from normal voting separately for general and European elections, based on issue party credibility. This allows us to assess: (a) the distinctiveness of the two electoral arenas in terms of issue content; and (b) the relative impact of EU-related and domestic issues on defections of Italian voters. Our findings show that although second-order effects are still relevant in accounting for results in EP elections, vote choice in the latter is also partly due to specific effects of certain policy issues, including some related to the European dimension. This indicates that EP elections have their own political content, for which Europe matters even after controlling for the importance that EU-related issues have acquired in national elections.

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PTV gap: A new measure of party identification yielding monotonic partisan attitudes and supporting comparative analysis

Cited by 9 publications

References 23 publications

Can Argentines Be Programmatic Voters? Assessing the Influence of Policy Preferences in Argentine Coalitions Using the Propensities to Vote

Can Argentines Be Programmatic Voters? Assessing the Influence of Policy Preferences in Argentine Coalitions Using the Propensities to Vote

Eurosphere or Anglosphere? Canadian Public Opinion on Brexit and the Future of Transatlantic Relations

Europe matters … upon closer investigation: a novel approach for analysing individual-level determinants of vote choice across first- and second-order elections, applied to 2019 Italy

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