2010
DOI: 10.7903/cmr.1158
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Risk Analysis of Rice Losses Caused by Typhoon for Taiwan

Abstract: This paper applies extreme value theory to the Taiwanese rice loss caused by typhoons to demonstrate how these new statistical tools can be used to improve quantitative risk management. The application of the extreme value theory to statistics allowed us to test models with data from the upper tail of a distribution. Using the block-max and peak-over-threshold approaches to extreme value modeling, we matched generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) and generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to agricultural… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…On average, 3.3 typhoons hit Taiwan each year causing damages exceeding 520 million U.S. dollars (USD) with extreme heavy rainfalls and strong winds (Lai and Wu 2010). Obtaining accurate QPEs for flood monitoring and prediction, landslide forecasts, and water resource management during typhoon events is the most important mission of the Central Weather Bureau (CWB) of Taiwan.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On average, 3.3 typhoons hit Taiwan each year causing damages exceeding 520 million U.S. dollars (USD) with extreme heavy rainfalls and strong winds (Lai and Wu 2010). Obtaining accurate QPEs for flood monitoring and prediction, landslide forecasts, and water resource management during typhoon events is the most important mission of the Central Weather Bureau (CWB) of Taiwan.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Strong winds bend the rice culm and rainstorms flood farmland, causing rice grains and roots to rot after long-term soaking and seriously affecting rice production [ 6 ]. Rice losses caused by typhoons in Japan [ 7 , 8 ] and Taiwan [ 9 ] have been reported.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Some studies focused on disaster-loss assessment and quantitative risk management to determine the effects of typhoons on paddy and other crops, applying a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, fuzzy intelligent decision support system, and extreme value theory to assess losses and management from Denotes content that is immediately available upon publication as open access. different natural hazards (Chen et al 2011;Lai and Wu 2010;Wang et al 2015;Zhou and Chan 2016). In terms of losses from flood damage, previous studies applied different flood models, including distributed hydrologic models and distributed flood loss-estimation models, to simulate hazards, for example, flood elevation or area (Dutta et al 2003;Messner and Meyer 2006;Scawthorn et al 2006).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%