Risk of the introduction of Lobesia botrana in suitable areas for Vitis vinifera

Rank, Adriano; Ramos, Rodrigo Soares; Silva, Ricardo Siqueira da; Soares, João Rafael Silva; Picanço, Marcelo Coutinho; Fidelis, Elisangela Gomes

doi:10.1007/s10340-020-01246-2

Cited by 29 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 57 publications

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“…17,19,21,24,33,34,44,45 The overall results are expected to provide effective suggestions for pest management. 17,19,21,24,33,34,44,45 However, there may be uncertainties in changing trends of insect pest expansion. The presence of insect pest species may not correspond to the damage occurrence in ecosystems based on percentage of leaf loss, and the amount of stunting and seedling death of their host species (Table 2; https://gardeningsolutions.ifas.ufl.edu/care/pests-anddiseases/pests/).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The future climatic variables from four of these global climate models have been widely used to project the distribution of insect pests under climate change. [17][18][19]21,33,34 Future ). We used a new set of emissions scenarios driven by different socioeconomic assumptions.…”

Section: Climate Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…SDM has been an effective tool for modeling the distributions of insect pests across different spatial scales from local to global scale under climate change based on present records. [17][18][19]21,33,34 However, SDM studies may not be able to support the risk assessment of insect pest expansion under climate change effectively. Our results showed that significant positive relationships between ecological damage and distribution probability existed only for some of the investigated insect pest species (i.e.…”

Section: Implication For Risk Assessment Of Insect Pest Expansionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These uncertainties may be because earlier studies used present records only as SDM input to quantify insect pest expansion ranges under climate change and did not consider whether these present records could fully include the number of damage occurrences in the ecosystems. [17][18][19]21,33,34 Therefore, SDM could not make a complete risk assessment of insect pest expansion under climate change because ecological damage by insect pests may not occur in the distribution ranges. To reduce the uncertainties in risk assessments of insect pests under climate change, we made the following suggestions: (i) test relationships between species distribution probability and damage occurrence for significance; (ii) integrate host plant availability, plant quality, competition, and natural enemies into risk assessments of insect pest expansion; and (iii) include a sufficiently large number of both present records and damage occurrences for risk assessment under climate change.…”

Section: Implication For Risk Assessment Of Insect Pest Expansionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Earlier SDM studies [17][18][19]31,33,34 have shown that the distribution ranges of insect pests could be used as ecological indicators to assess the ecological risk in both local and global scale; hence, we formulated Hypothesis 2: There will be a positive relationship between the distribution probabilities of insect pest species and the ecological risk in alpine ecosystems; this relationship will be an indicator of the risk of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Risk assessment of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change

Wang

Chen

et al. 2021

Pest Management Science

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BACKGROUND: Growth in insect pest populations poses a significant threat to ecosystem functions and services, societal development, and food security in alpine regions under climate change. Risk assessments are important prioritization tools for pest management, which must be used to study insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under global warming. We used species distribution modeling to simulate the current and future distribution probabilities of 58 insect pest species in the Qinghai Province, China, based on a comprehensive field investigation. Subsequently, general linear modeling was used to explore the relationship between the distribution probability of these species and the damage caused by them. Finally, we assessed the ecological risk of insect pest expansion across different alpine ecosystems under climate change.RESULTS: Climate change could increase the distribution probabilities of insect pest species across different alpine ecosystems. However, the presence of insect pest species may not correspond to the damage occurrence in alpine ecosystems based on percent leaf loss, amount of stunting, and seedling death of their host species. Significant positive relationships between distribution probability and damage occurrence were found for several of the examined insect pest species. Insect pest expansion is likely to increase extensively in alpine ecosystems under increasing carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission scenarios. CONCLUSION:The relationships between distribution probability and damage occurrence should be considered in species distribution modeling for risk assessment of insect pest expansion under climate change. Our study could improve the effectiveness of risk assessment of insect pest expansion under changing climate conditions.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Climate Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Implication For Risk Assessment Of Insect Pest Expansionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Implication For Risk Assessment Of Insect Pest Expansionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Risk assessment of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change

Wang

Chen

et al. 2021

Pest Management Science

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Climate‐induced range shifts of invasive species (Diaphorina citri Kuwayama)

Aidoo

Souza

Silva

et al. 2022

Pest Management Science

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BACKGROUND: The Asian citrus psyllid (ACP) Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) is a destructive, invasive species that poses a serious threat to the citrus industry wherever it occurs. The psyllid vectors the phloem-limited bacteria 'Candidatus Liberibacter americanus' and 'Ca. L. asiaticus', causal agents of the incurable citrus greening disease or huanglongbing (HLB). It is essential to understand which regions and areas are suitable for colonization by ACP to formulate appropriate policy and preventive measures. Considering its biology and ecology, we used a machine learning algorithm based on the MaxEnt (Maximum Entropy) principle, to predict the potential global distribution of ACP using bioclimatic variables and elevation. RESULTS:The model predictions are consistent with the known distribution of ACP and also highlight the potential occurrence outside its current ecological range, that is, primarily in Africa, Asia and the Americas. The most important abiotic variables driving the global distribution of ACP were annual mean temperature, seasonality of temperature and annual precipitation. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight the need for international collaboration in slowing the spread of invasive pests like D. citri.

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Thermal biology of Tuta absoluta: demographic parameters and facultative diapause

et al. 2020

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Risk of the introduction of Lobesia botrana in suitable areas for Vitis vinifera

Cited by 29 publications

References 57 publications

Risk assessment of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change

Risk assessment of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change

Climate‐induced range shifts of invasive species (Diaphorina citri Kuwayama)

Thermal biology of Tuta absoluta: demographic parameters and facultative diapause

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