Seasonal Dynamic Pattern Analysis in Service of Climate Change Research a Methodical Case-Study — Monitoring and Simulation Based on an Aquatic Insect Community

Hufnágel, Levente

doi:10.15666/aeer/0301_079132

Cited by 12 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 60 publications

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“…Several pentatomid, mirid and alydid species have recently been reported to have increased in abundance and become serious agricultural pests in Japan, likely in response to increased summer temperatures and/or change in agricultural practices (Yokosuka, 2001; Kiritani, 2006). Increase in abundance of dominant species in an aquatic Heteroptera community in Hungary has been predicted by a simulation model, which mostly considered temperature dependence of seasonal population dynamics (Hufnagel & Gaál, 2005). Decrease in abundance of heteropteran nymphs and adults, however, was recorded in a long‐term field experiment with manipulated winter warming (+3°C; Roth & Masters, 2000) suggesting that species‐specific responses are likely to occur.…”

Section: Responses To Climate Warming Among Other Heteroptera Speciesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Insects in a warmer world: ecological, physiological and life‐history responses of true bugs (Heteroptera) to climate change

Musolin

2007

Global Change Biology

252

217

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Focusing on the southern green stink bug, Nezara viridula (Pentatomidae), in central Japan the effects of climate change on true bugs (Insecta: Heteroptera) are reviewed. In the early 1960s, the northern edge of the species's distribution was in Wakayama Prefecture (34.11N) and distribution was limited by the 15 1C coldest month (January) mean temperature isothermal line. By 2000, N. viridula was recorded 70 km further north (in Osaka, 34.71N). Historical climate data were used to reveal possible causes of the northward range expansion. The increase of mean and lowest winter month temperatures by 1-2 1C in Osaka from the 1950s to the 1990s improved potential overwintering conditions for N. viridula. This promoted northward range expansion of the species. In Osaka, adult diapause in N. viridula is induced after mid-September, much later than in other local seed-feeding heteropterans. This late diapause induction results in late-season ineffective reproduction: some females start oviposition in autumn when the progeny have no chance of attaining adulthood and surviving winter. Both reproductive adults and the progeny die. A period from mid-September to early November represents a phenological mismatch: diapause is not yet induced in all adults, but it is already too late to start reproduction. Females that do not start reproduction but enter diapause in September have reduced postdiapause reproductive performance: they live for a shorter period, have a shorter period of oviposition and produce fewer eggs in smaller egg masses compared with females that emerge and enter diapause later in autumn. To some extent, N. viridula remains maladapted to Osaka environmental conditions. Ecological perspectives on establishment in recently colonized areas are discussed. A review of available data suggests that terrestrial and aquatic Heteroptera species respond to climate change by shifting their distribution ranges, changing abundance, phenology, voltinism, physiology, behaviour, and community structure. Expected responses of Heteroptera to further climate warming are discussed under scenarios of slight (o2 1C) and substantial (42 1C) temperature increase.When our grandchildren write the history of global warming -how we discovered and debated it, and what we finally did about it -the stinkbugs . . . may not loom large . . . But our descendants may well decide that it was the long string of such close-to-home observations -the early springs, the shifting ranges of plants and animals, the mortal heat waves -that, more than any climatological data, convinced people that something needed to be done about global warming.R. Kunzig (2005)

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Section: Responses To Climate Warming Among Other Heteroptera Speciesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Insects in a warmer world: ecological, physiological and life‐history responses of true bugs (Heteroptera) to climate change

Musolin

2007

Global Change Biology

252

217

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“…In Hungary, a subimago of Prosopistoma was found in autumn 2002 at Szilas stream (left-side tributary of the Danube River) near Budapest (Hufnagel and Gaa´l 2005). In Romania, Prosopistoma pennigerum was recorded in the region Hunedoara from the river Mures and its tributary Cerna (Bogoescu 1958).…”

Section: Eastern Europementioning

confidence: 99%

The family Prosopistomatidae (Ephemeroptera): a review on its ecology and distribution, with particular emphasis on the European speciesProsopistoma pennigerumMüller, 1785

Schletterer

Füreder

2009

Aquatic Insects

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Although the monogeneric mayfly family Prosopistomatidae is almost globally distributed, remarkably few records have been made. Evidence available to date indicates that this taxon is very rare. We present ecological data on the European species Prosopistoma pennigerum which were assessed during a monitoring programme in the headwaters of River Volga. As a result of a bibliographic review, the historic distribution of this species throughout Europe is provided and its ecological demands (lithophil, rheophil, potamophil) are summarised.

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“…dependent potential and the locally and historically developed number of individuals (Hufnagel and Gaál, 2005).…”

Section: The Last Column Shows Whether the Species Was Studied In Thimentioning

confidence: 99%

The combined impact of urban heat island, thermal bridge effect of buildings and future climate change on the potential overwintering of Phlebotomus species in a Central European metropolis

Tràjer¹

2014

Appl Ecol Env Res

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Trájer et al.: The combined impact of urban heat island, thermal bridge effect of buildings and future climate change on the potential overwintering of Phlebotomus species in a Central European metropolis - Abstract. Leishmaniasis is one of the most important emerging vector-borne diseases in Western Eurasia. Although winter minimum temperatures limit the present geographical distribution of the vector Phlebotomus species, the heat island effect of the cities and the anthropogenic heat emission together may provide the appropriate environment for the overwintering of sand flies. We studied the climate tempering effect of thermal bridges and the heat island effect in Budapest, Hungary. Thermal imaging was used to measure the heat surplus of heat bridges. The winter heat island effect of the city was evaluated by numerical analysis of the measurements of the Aqua sensor of satellite Terra. We found that the surface temperature of thermal bridges can be at least 3-7 °C higher than the surrounding environment. The heat emission of thermal bridges and the urban heat island effect together can cause at least 10 °C higher minimum ambient temperature in winter nights than the minimum temperature of the peri-urban areas. This milder micro-climate of the built environment can enable the potential overwintering of some important European Phlebotomus species. The anthropogenic heat emission of big cities may explain the observed isolated northward populations of Phlebotomus ariasi in Paris and Phlebotomus neglectus in the agglomeration of Budapest.

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Seasonal Dynamic Pattern Analysis in Service of Climate Change Research a Methodical Case-Study — Monitoring and Simulation Based on an Aquatic Insect Community

Cited by 12 publications

References 60 publications

Insects in a warmer world: ecological, physiological and life‐history responses of true bugs (Heteroptera) to climate change

Insects in a warmer world: ecological, physiological and life‐history responses of true bugs (Heteroptera) to climate change

The family Prosopistomatidae (Ephemeroptera): a review on its ecology and distribution, with particular emphasis on the European speciesProsopistoma pennigerumMüller, 1785

The combined impact of urban heat island, thermal bridge effect of buildings and future climate change on the potential overwintering of Phlebotomus species in a Central European metropolis

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